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Climate Change Fuels Europe’s Worst Wildfire Season on Record

1 year ago

Ancient DNA Study Pinpoints Horse Genes That Enabled Riding

Bio

Archeology

Science

Ancient DNA Study Pinpoints Horse Genes That Enabled Riding

11 months ago

By the end of 2026, will we have transparency into any useful internal pattern within a Large Language Model whose semantics would have been unfamiliar to AI and cognitive science in 2006?

Sep 30, 5:54 PMFeb 1, 7:59 AM

9.7%chance

835518679

OptionVotes

YES

58873

10436

Date first peer reviewed manuscript in Cell, Nature, or Science concludes SARS2 lab origin more likely than not (Set)

Jan 8, 2:26 PMJan 1, 12:00 AM

268742

OptionProbability

Never or after 1/1/2030

1/1/2028-12/31/2028

1/1/2029-12/31/2029

1/1/2027-12/31/2027

1/1/2026-12/31/2026

Before 2026

Will a Manifest speaker run a direct science funding Organization by mid 2027?

Jun 9, 9:27 PMJul 1, 6:59 AM

29.25%chance

48446

OptionVotes

YES

15553

6430

In Fall 2026, will US computer science departments find their enrollment halved compared to previous years?

Jul 20, 5:16 AMDec 20, 11:59 PM

4.61%chance

235051

OptionVotes

YES

4659

225

Will Michael Nielsen agree by 2030 that private-only funding for science significantly improves the status quo?

Feb 5, 11:21 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

12.14%chance

234002

OptionVotes

YES

1340

921

Will Century High School (MN) qualify for Science Olympiad Nationals in 2027?

Mar 17, 3:08 AMApr 1, 10:59 PM

8.85%chance

162946

OptionVotes

YES

321

Will an Indian science fiction film make a billion dollars at the global box office this decade?

Aug 1, 4:44 AMDec 31, 6:29 PM

16.29%chance

301318

OptionVotes

YES

1444

853

Frontier science theorem discovery fully formalized in proof assistant before 2028?

May 23, 6:26 AMDec 31, 9:44 AM

22.82%chance

111221

OptionVotes

YES

1842

547

Will the Ontario Science Centre reopen at its 2024 location in the next 5 years?

Aug 3, 2:19 PMAug 11, 3:59 AM

18.92%chance

51075

OptionVotes

YES

2070

483

Will mainstream science be using primarily Bayesian analysis by 2035?

Aug 14, 11:50 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM

33.67%chance

251042

OptionVotes

YES

1029

974

Will a major science publication claim that humans have "cheated death" by 2040?

Mar 7, 3:03 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

15%chance

16743

OptionVotes

YES

1243

893

Will science make human beings biologically immortal in future?

Nov 24, 10:22 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

88.73%chance

18429

OptionVotes

YES

1226

948

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By the end of 2026, will we have transparency into any useful internal pattern within a Large Language Model whose semantics would have been unfamiliar to AI and cognitive science in 2006?

Date first peer reviewed manuscript in Cell, Nature, or Science concludes SARS2 lab origin more likely than not (Set)

Will a Manifest speaker run a direct science funding Organization by mid 2027?

In Fall 2026, will US computer science departments find their enrollment halved compared to previous years?

Will Michael Nielsen agree by 2030 that private-only funding for science significantly improves the status quo?

Will Century High School (MN) qualify for Science Olympiad Nationals in 2027?

Will an Indian science fiction film make a billion dollars at the global box office this decade?

Frontier science theorem discovery fully formalized in proof assistant before 2028?

Will the Ontario Science Centre reopen at its 2024 location in the next 5 years?

Will mainstream science be using primarily Bayesian analysis by 2035?

Will a major science publication claim that humans have "cheated death" by 2040?

Will science make human beings biologically immortal in future?

Latest stories

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