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Prediction markets for Scottish
Will the next Scottish independence referendum pass?
Jan 18, 7:57 AMDec 31, 11:00 AM
52.5%chance
382288
OptionVotes
1075
903
OptionProbability
28
27
20
10
8
4
4
What seat shares will the parties get at the next UK general election?
Jul 20, 10:37 AMAug 17, 10:59 PM
41529
OptionProbability
35
23
15
9
4
4
4
3
2
Will there be a Scottish independence referendum before 2027 if the Gender Recognition Reform (Scotland) Bill doesn't receive Royal Assent?
Jan 18, 2:09 AMDec 31, 11:00 AM
2%chance
6999
OptionVotes
1121
26
What will be the distribution of seats after the next UK General Election?
May 3, 6:26 AMAug 15, 6:18 AM
20936
OptionProbability
35
23
22
9
4
2
2
1
1
1
Will there be a Scottish independence referendum (indyref2) by 2030?
Sep 10, 4:26 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
16.12%chance
17698
OptionVotes
1498
859
OptionProbability
64
29
3
2
2
Will there be a Scottish independence referendum before 2029 if the Gender Recognition Reform (Scotland) Bill doesn't receive Royal Assent?
Jan 18, 2:09 AMDec 31, 11:00 AM
17.24%chance
8297
OptionVotes
408
81
What vote shares will the parties get at the next UK general election?
Jul 20, 10:49 AMJan 24, 11:59 PM
4246
OptionProbability
25
20
19
12
8
4
4
3
3
3
Which Scottish Spaceport will see the first successful orbital launch?
Jan 17, 5:17 AMJan 2, 3:59 PM
3160
OptionProbability
85
15
If Labour wins the next UK election will there be a Scottish independence referendum announced during that parliament?
Sep 19, 1:37 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
20%chance
4137
OptionVotes
203
51
If Reform wins the next UK election will there be a Scottish independence referendum announced during that parliament?
Sep 19, 1:36 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
20%chance
3127
OptionVotes
200
50
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