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Prediction markets for shooting
[ADD ANSWERS] What’s true of the shooting suspect of the two National Guard troops?
Nov 26, 10:00 PMJun 30, 10:59 PM
6222505
OptionProbability
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
82
75
68
56
50
40
21
1
1
0
0
0
What will happen as a result of the shooting of Renee Good in the next 2 Years?
Jan 8, 2:17 AMJan 10, 2:16 AM
769739
OptionProbability
72
39
39
35
32
28
22
14
12
10
10
6
4
4
US civil war before 2028 with Charlie Kirk shooting as major cause?
Sep 11, 10:52 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
2.86%chance
229395
OptionVotes
5823
172
Will a NATO aircraft shoot down a missile or drone fired towards a target in Ukraine before 2027?
Apr 15, 7:34 PMMar 5, 10:59 PM
80.85%chance
485737
OptionVotes
2014
511
Will Luigi Mangione plead guilty for the shooting of UnitedHealthcare CEO Brian Thompson
Feb 5, 5:53 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
99%chance
231592
OptionVotes
753
5
Will any Democratic state legalize school shootings by the end of 2032?
Nov 29, 6:20 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM
1.8%chance
81040
OptionVotes
540
126
Will EHarding's market "Will any Democratic state legalize school shootings by the end of 2032?" resolve accurately?
Jun 2, 1:47 PMDec 31, 2:00 PM
70%chance
13947
OptionVotes
1420
750
Will there be a second shooting event related to the Bondi Beach mass shooting within one year?
Dec 14, 11:41 AMDec 14, 11:38 AM
2.49%chance
11449
OptionVotes
626
16
Will Russia shoot down a crewed NATO military aircraft in 2026?
Jan 13, 4:03 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
8.12%chance
19404
OptionVotes
336
30
In 2027, will Manifold poll show Minnesota shooting had greater immigration enforcement impact than Laken Riley?
Jan 9, 2:43 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
63%chance
8402
OptionVotes
453
119
How many people will be killed in the next major mass shooting (more than 10 killed) in the US?
May 3, 7:07 AMDec 31, 12:59 PM
2166
OptionProbability
17
17
17
17
17
7
2
2
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Will an F-22 Raptor shoot down a manned military aircraft before 2030?
Sep 4, 8:30 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
33.51%chance
576
OptionVotes
166
105
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