Shorts News
Top stories
Prediction markets for Shorts
In 2025, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality short story to a prompt?
Mar 2, 7:02 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
60.01%chance
524788
OptionVotes
2210
976
Will the person cast as Link in the Legend of Zelda movie be short?
Nov 8, 12:36 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
32.37%chance
153012
OptionVotes
1527
591
In mid 2026, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality short film to a prompt?
Aug 18, 10:56 AMSep 30, 11:59 PM
15.53%chance
272959
OptionVotes
2332
429
Neural Nets will write award-winning short stories and publishable 50k-word books by the end of 2025
Mar 28, 9:38 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
14.96%chance
332934
OptionVotes
1843
682
SOAI#7: A movie or short film produced with significant use of AI wins major audience praise and sparks backlash
Oct 9, 11:07 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
71.48%chance
252203
OptionVotes
1583
632
Will Ukraine demonstrate a domestically-produced short-range ballistic missile by the end of 2025?
Oct 23, 10:48 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM
17.51%chance
161653
OptionVotes
2171
461
A single neural network will win multiple top short story awards (for many stories) before 2026. No editing.
May 19, 4:41 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
14.05%chance
201191
OptionVotes
1844
771
Will there be a platform that provides personalized short movies by 2030?
Mar 8, 6:15 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM
79.57%chance
15560
OptionVotes
997
881
If AI becomes economically dominant will we see Universal Basic Income (UBI) become a reality shortly thereafter?
Sep 28, 9:25 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
36.13%chance
18425
OptionVotes
1000
993
Do short sleeper genes exist, and do they accelerate repair proccesses?
Aug 10, 5:55 PMDec 18, 2:59 PM
59.88%chance
19407
OptionVotes
1081
928
Will "Short Timelines Don't Devalue Long Horizon Re..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
May 27, 8:21 PMFeb 1, 12:00 AM
14.88%chance
110
OptionVotes
1010
941
Will "A short course on AGI safety from the GDM Ali..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
Sep 29, 5:02 AMFeb 1, 12:00 AM
14%chance
00
OptionVotes
1000
1000
Latest stories
Latest stories