Shorts News
Top stories
Prediction markets for Shorts
Do short sleeper genes exist, and do they accelerate repair proccesses?
Aug 10, 5:55 PMDec 18, 2:59 PM
28.12%chance
251306
OptionVotes
1669
510
OptionProbability
426
62
Will Michael Burry actually get it right and profit >$1 Billion from a short position before 2030?
Nov 15, 2:19 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
14.64%chance
16764
OptionVotes
241
41
Will there be a platform that provides personalized short movies by 2030?
Mar 8, 6:15 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM
79.57%chance
15560
OptionVotes
997
881
Will "Do confident short timelines make sense?" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
Jul 16, 2:14 PMFeb 1, 12:00 AM
20.05%chance
6237
OptionVotes
1062
690
OptionProbability
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
50
50
50
50
50
50
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Will "What’s the short timeline plan?" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
Jan 2, 7:28 PMFeb 1, 12:00 AM
5%chance
1164
OptionVotes
264
85
Will Hindenburg Research release at least one stock short report in 2030?
Jun 21, 3:07 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
16.51%chance
4122
OptionVotes
158
26
Will Merle Streep and Martin Short get married in 2026?
Jul 13, 1:21 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
24.83%chance
680
OptionVotes
174
57
Will any major science fiction short story markets lift their categorical ban on writing with LLMs by 2030?
Jul 25, 6:48 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
44.84%chance
328
OptionVotes
111
90
Will "A short course on AGI safety from the GDM Ali..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
Sep 29, 5:02 AMFeb 1, 12:00 AM
14%chance
126
OptionVotes
1000
1000
Will "Short Timelines Don't Devalue Long Horizon Re..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
May 27, 8:21 PMFeb 1, 12:00 AM
14.88%chance
110
OptionVotes
1010
941
Latest stories
Latest stories



