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Top stories

Pokémon Company Reveals Mega Dragonite, Dates Legends Z-A for 16 October

Pokémon Company Reveals Mega Dragonite, Dates Legends Z-A for 16 October

Authors

11

11 days ago

Prediction markets for Single

Will a single company in S&P 500 have a larger market cap than all other S&P 500 companies combined before 2035?

Jun 15, 7:35 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

12.72%chance

2510433

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2619

382

Tennis player(s) to win the most Grand Slam tournaments (singles) in 2025?

Sep 2, 6:28 PMSep 30, 8:59 PM

289289

OptionProbability

🇮🇹 Jannik Sinner

🇪🇸 Carlos Alcaraz

🇵🇱 Iga Swiatek

🇺🇸 Coco Gauff

Madison Keys

🇷🇸 Novak Djokovic

🇩🇪 Alexander Zverev

Daniil Medvedev

Aryna Sabalenka

🇰🇿 Elena Rybakina

Other

🇮🇹 Jasmine Paolini

71

11

6

4

3

1

1

1

1

1

1

0

Will the world economy grow by more than X% in any single year before 2030?

Jul 4, 7:52 AMMay 1, 4:59 PM

157853

OptionProbability

growth > 3%

growth > 5%

growth > 7%

growth > 10%

growth > 15%

growth > 25%

growth > 50%

growth > 100%

growth > 500%

97

85

25

11

4

4

3

3

2

Will MIRI receive more than 1 billion USD in funding in a single year before 2030?

Jun 15, 7:33 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

10.66%chance

215638

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2896

345

Will the world economy grow by more than 30% in a single year before 2040?

Aug 7, 10:21 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

37%chance

442328

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1161

514

Will a single shooting incident kill at least 20 people in the US during 2025?

Nov 9, 12:22 AMDec 31, 1:59 PM

33.14%chance

241656

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1420

704

Will AI be able to write, compile, and unit test a single .c file to reproduce GPT-2 training from PyTorch code by 2026?

Apr 9, 4:13 PMApr 9, 6:29 PM

70.13%chance

291047

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1107

930

How Much Funding Will a Single Manifold Question Raise for My Antibiotic Research?💊🦠🚀

Feb 24, 12:05 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

11946

OptionProbability

(0, 200]

None

(200, 600]

(600, 1200]

(1200, 2500]

(2500, 5000]

(5000, 10000]

(10000, 15000]

(15000, 24000]

More than $24,000

34

25

9

6

5

5

5

5

4

4

Will a single model have all the upsides o1-style RL with none of the downsides at 2027?

Nov 20, 5:32 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

58.13%chance

10822

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1178

849

Will total processed tokens by Open Router LLMs exceed 10 trillion in any single week by the end of 2025

Feb 17, 12:31 AMDec 31, 1:00 AM

47%chance

7471

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1062

942

Will SUI and APTOS blockchains merge into a single network by December 31st, 2026?

Aug 27, 5:03 PMJan 2, 5:59 AM

43.07%chance

3153

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1150

870

Will the USG centralize frontier AI development in a single government project?

Nov 19, 2:42 PMDec 21, 4:59 AM

56.51%chance

4140

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1140

877

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Jul 22, 2025
Jul 22, 2025
Video Games
Culture
Pokémon Company Reveals Mega Dragonite, Dates Legends Z-A for 16 October
Authors
11
11 days ago

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