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Prediction markets for Slides
OptionVotes
1187
785
How many minutes of Harry Potter 2026 series will be streamed in the US in the first year?
Feb 24, 9:53 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
171082
OptionProbability
89
87
79
70
47
29
OptionProbability
57
50
46
43
39
31
29
19
Will a xenharmonic song enter the Billboard Top 100 or Spotify Top 100 tracks before 2030?
Jul 19, 2:35 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM
39.87%chance
7316
OptionVotes
1228
814
OptionProbability
76
76
76
76
76
76
76
66
34
34
Will these Google/Microsoft Products will rebrand/deprecated/discontinued (In 2039 or less)?
Sep 23, 12:52 PMDec 31, 6:29 PM
4136
OptionProbability
69
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
32
32
32
32
32
32
32
27
Will AI turn slides of YouTube presentations into a giant PDF or folder of jpg's by EOY 2026
Feb 12, 12:01 AMDec 16, 4:59 AM
55.55%chance
480
OptionVotes
95
76
OptionVotes
180
56
How many points will I get by completing tasks before March 29th, 11:59 PM?
Mar 22, 8:46 PMMar 23, 6:59 AM
244
OptionProbability
59
56
55
54
54
50
Will "Tips On Empirical Research Slides" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
Jan 3, 6:57 PMFeb 1, 12:00 AM
14%chance
122
OptionVotes
1000
1000
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