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Prediction markets for Smart Data
Will this market get Calaveras AI a hire by EOY 2025?
Aug 12, 7:49 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
35.59%chance
293914
OptionVotes
13454
7433
Will AI become a strategic geopolitical weapon by 2040?
Sep 5, 10:13 AMDec 31, 11:51 PM
80%chance
553582
OptionVotes
1081
902
OptionProbability
99
91
87
85
80
76
70
69
69
69
66
64
63
63
62
59
59
56
55
55
55
52
50
50
50
50
50
46
46
45
41
40
39
36
36
34
34
34
34
34
34
34
34
30
28
27
26
24
24
24
17
15
15
14
5
4
Will blockchain technology be used for storing at least 10% of global GDP by 2027?
Nov 15, 1:49 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM
30%chance
10916
OptionVotes
1528
655
OptionProbability
72
41
31
26
26
20
20
14
10
8
Will AI become a strategic geopolitical weapon by 2040?
Sep 9, 4:30 PMSep 16, 8:59 PM
60.85%chance
7185
OptionVotes
161
103
Does being smart and innovative require that AIs can never truly, deeply conform to social rules? [In development still]
Dec 22, 8:25 AMJan 2, 6:59 AM
51%chance
759
OptionVotes
156
143
Will the AT Protocol (bluesky) end up being used as a distributed ledger?
Aug 20, 8:00 AMJun 26, 11:59 AM
30.88%chance
251
OptionVotes
150
67
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