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Prediction markets for Smart Data
Will AI become a strategic geopolitical weapon by 2040?
Sep 5, 10:13 AMDec 31, 11:51 PM
78.43%chance
573602
OptionVotes
1005
922
Will blockchain technology be used for storing at least 10% of global GDP by 2027?
Nov 15, 1:49 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM
18.46%chance
191770
OptionVotes
2102
476
Will credible evidence show OpenAI paid ≥100 NYC households to install indoor 360° cameras for home-activity recording?
May 24, 1:08 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
25.2%chance
131270
OptionVotes
1723
580
Will Ray-Ban Meta smart glasses sell at least 10 million units by December 31, 2026?
Dec 7, 1:08 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
84.46%chance
9479
OptionVotes
233
43
OptionVotes
177
128
Does being smart and innovative require that AIs can never truly, deeply conform to social rules? [In development still]
Dec 22, 8:25 AMJan 2, 6:59 AM
65.02%chance
9125
OptionVotes
194
119
Will the AT Protocol (bluesky) end up being used as a distributed ledger?
Aug 20, 8:00 AMJun 26, 11:59 AM
30.88%chance
251
OptionVotes
150
67
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