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Prediction markets for SOC
Will we see highly sophisticated AI-based aged account sockpuppet swarms before the end of 2025?
Dec 18, 6:29 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
89.01%chance
7230005
OptionVotes
3204
720
Will "narcissistic, orgying tech nerds" solve social ills?
Oct 8, 7:27 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
70.24%chance
9625869
OptionVotes
1161
899
Delayed Social Security payments to at least 100,000 people before December 31, 2025
Feb 1, 9:39 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
33.91%chance
12423197
OptionVotes
13029
7951
Will Open AI launch a social media app by the end of 2026?
Mar 3, 12:02 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
33.79%chance
586279
OptionVotes
2550
1629
2030 – 5. AI-driven job loss will be one of the most widely discussed political and social issues.
Mar 11, 12:09 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM
71.93%chance
163414
OptionVotes
1009
979
Will humanoid robots win against the human soccer World Cup champions by the end of year 2038 ?
Jul 31, 5:43 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM
69.85%chance
413179
OptionVotes
1529
597
Will we see an increased premium put on offline socialization by the end of 2027?
Dec 27, 6:13 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM
37%chance
642960
OptionVotes
1537
895
Will relatively "offline" societies show signs of out-competing "online" societies by the end of 2027?
Dec 27, 6:26 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM
50%chance
462069
OptionVotes
1085
885
Will social media sites have warning labels before 2028?
Jun 19, 5:53 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM
53.62%chance
221401
OptionVotes
1075
930
Will money still exist in a post-AGI, post-scarcity society?
Mar 25, 12:47 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
71.94%chance
29705
OptionVotes
991
975
Will a major social media platform implement privacy-preserving proof of personhood by 2030?
Aug 16, 11:56 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM
53.64%chance
8491
OptionVotes
1076
930
Will the future Real Madrid soccer player Endrick Sousa achieve The Best FIFA Men's Player award before his 30s?
Feb 3, 3:26 AMJun 22, 2:59 AM
27.34%chance
10243
OptionVotes
1063
965
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