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Prediction markets for SOC
Will "narcissistic, orgying tech nerds" solve social ills?
Oct 8, 7:27 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
30.67%chance
10429280
OptionVotes
1625
393
Australia reverses under-16 social media ban in 2026?
Dec 10, 3:28 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
5.51%chance
11118952
OptionVotes
7997
907
[ACX 2026] Will the EU require mandatory age verification on social media or AI before 2027?
Jan 6, 10:49 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
7.05%chance
3013200
OptionVotes
8798
4686
What other companies and brands will the Trump administration nationally socialize?
Aug 24, 3:22 AMJan 20, 11:59 PM
346089
OptionProbability
27
24
23
21
20
20
20
17
15
14
10
10
7
6
Will a team of robots win a game of soccer against the winners of the most recent World Cup by the end of 2050?
Mar 15, 12:30 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM
25.97%chance
255496
OptionVotes
1007
842
Will humanoid robots win against the human soccer World Cup champions by the end of year 2038 ?
Jul 31, 5:43 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM
60.33%chance
463415
OptionVotes
1252
744
Will the next president of France be from Parti Socialiste?
Mar 23, 11:51 AMApr 24, 11:59 PM
6.54%chance
183382
OptionVotes
2924
61
Will we see an increased premium put on offline socialization by the end of 2027?
Dec 27, 6:13 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM
39.56%chance
643010
OptionVotes
1456
945
Will relatively "offline" societies show signs of out-competing "online" societies by the end of 2027?
Dec 27, 6:26 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM
41.58%chance
462286
OptionVotes
1069
933
Will AI impersonation on social media cause a minimum of $50M+ in reported US corporate losses in 2026?
Feb 12, 12:05 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
21.56%chance
101181
OptionVotes
1708
117
Will a televised football (soccer) match between humanoid robots and professional humans occur before 2030?
Mar 22, 6:45 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM
33.35%chance
21846
OptionVotes
1095
667
Will ASI (if it exist and doesn’t wipe out humanity) care about people’s social relationships?
Jul 29, 12:07 AMJan 1, 1:04 AM
55.4%chance
6231
OptionVotes
1154
937
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