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Prediction markets for South African
Will the International Court of Justice (ICJ) determine that Israel committed genocide in Gaza?
Jan 3, 7:16 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
19.88%chance
27874619
OptionVotes
1890
1079
Will the ICJ determine that Israel committed war crimes in Gaza?
Jan 3, 7:17 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
92.38%chance
11314826
OptionVotes
6748
407
Will GiveWell fund HPV vaccination to prevent cervical cancer by 1st January 2027?
Dec 18, 12:46 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
24.26%chance
224741
OptionVotes
5159
2655
Will GiveWell fund Chlorhexidine for umbilical cord care by 1st January 2027?
Dec 18, 12:38 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
24.96%chance
123209
OptionVotes
6132
3376
Will the United States will have an Asian-American First Lady before they have an Asian-American president?
Sep 28, 8:42 PMJan 7, 7:59 AM
40%chance
16783
OptionVotes
1405
531
Is a potential white genocide brewing in South Africa?
Aug 1, 8:42 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM
7.09%chance
13460
OptionVotes
474
136
OptionVotes
279
14
Will the South African government expel the US ambassador?
Aug 16, 7:09 AMSep 30, 9:59 PM
8.86%chance
5263
OptionVotes
241
50
Will Elon Musk or Donald Trump personally say* “Rhodesia”?
Feb 3, 3:07 AMJan 6, 12:59 PM
54.6%chance
11200
OptionVotes
110
91
Will any country leave the 1967 protocol of the Geneva convention on refugees by dec 31st 2026?
Nov 26, 8:32 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
27.97%chance
5122
OptionVotes
301
187
South Africa imposes chrome-ore export tax before 2027?
Jul 7, 5:35 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
66.95%chance
352
OptionVotes
142
70
If Elon and Zuck have an actual dick measuring contest, will Elon have the longer penis?
Jul 12, 4:18 AMDec 31, 2:59 PM
64.38%chance
546
OptionVotes
141
88
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