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Top stories

Air Force Reverses Stance, Grants Military Honors to Ashli Babbitt

US Domestic Policy

Air Force Reverses Stance, Grants Military Honors to Ashli Babbitt

Authors

33

1 year ago

Prediction markets for Speaker

[RESOLVES JANUARY 31] Will the Senate majority leader and speaker of the house both be Democrats after the 2026 midterms

Sep 26, 3:00 PMJan 31, 11:59 PM

98.13%chance

3772321

OptionVotes

NO

YES

72516

1379

Democrat elected Speaker of the House by end of 2026?

Nov 27, 6:29 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

2.95%chance

817204

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5736

174

Will a Manifest speaker run a direct science funding Organization by mid 2027?

Jun 9, 9:27 PMJul 1, 6:59 AM

22.99%chance

511228

OptionVotes

YES

NO

18303

5464

Will Mike Johnson be removed as Speaker before 2027?

Oct 27, 6:55 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

13.01%chance

204053

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2585

387

Will Hakeem Jeffries be Speaker following the 2026 Election?

Aug 31, 2:07 AMJan 3, 11:59 PM

94.69%chance

183243

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2649

842

Who will be the next female Speaker of the House?

Mar 23, 2:47 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

201875

OptionProbability

Other

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (AOC)

Katherine Clark

Marjorie Taylor Greene (MTG)

87

7

6

1

Will there be a transgender president before a transgender speaker of the house.

Apr 2, 12:43 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

16.37%chance

201611

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2128

573

Will any member of "The Squad" become Speaker of the House before 2033?

Aug 8, 7:49 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

17.8%chance

111165

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2149

465

Will English be the first language to pass 2 billion speakers worldwide?

Jan 29, 4:11 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM

90.14%chance

131024

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1916

838

Will "MAGA speakers at NatCon were mostly against AI" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?

Sep 9, 2:55 PMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

9.01%chance

3548

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1534

933

Will Haley Stevens be a speaker the 2028 RNC?

Oct 30, 10:39 PMJul 31, 11:59 PM

15%chance

11431

OptionVotes

YES

NO

238

42

Will a Speaker of the House of Representatives ascend to the Presidency in the 21st century?

Apr 14, 2:55 AMDec 31, 12:00 PM

23.3%chance

5107

OptionVotes

YES

NO

185

102

Latest stories

Latest stories

Aug 29, 2025
Aug 29, 2025
US Domestic Policy
Washington DC
Politics
Air Force Reverses Stance, Grants Military Honors to Ashli Babbitt
Authors
33
1 year ago

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