Standard Edition News
Top stories
Prediction markets for Standard Edition
OptionVotes
2438
1224
In 2028, will a publicly available AI be able to generate a full high-quality film to a prompt?
Jul 10, 6:56 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM
18.34%chance
273944
OptionVotes
1172
926
OptionVotes
3847
260
OptionVotes
2741
228
Will the US change to permanent Standard Time before 2030?
Oct 30, 5:56 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
28.01%chance
292209
OptionVotes
1127
916
OptionVotes
1772
564
OptionVotes
1129
724
Will Llama-3 (or next open Meta model) be obviously good in its first-order effects on the world?
Oct 23, 12:43 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM
85.43%chance
181098
OptionVotes
1551
843
Will AI interpretability techniques reveal an AI to have been plotting to take over the world before 2028?
Aug 12, 8:39 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM
13.87%chance
21637
OptionVotes
1133
955
OptionVotes
1020
980
Will the next version of the C programming language (C2y) include a "defer" feature?
Apr 22, 6:20 PMOct 21, 10:59 PM
55.1%chance
4112
OptionVotes
1108
903
OptionVotes
1008
992
Latest stories
Latest stories