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Prediction markets for Starline
OptionProbability
70
68
10
0
0
0
0
Will Starliner have crew on it next time it's launched to orbit?
Jun 25, 12:17 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM
2.31%chance
2916830
OptionVotes
6506
154
OptionProbability
100
13
0
0
Will there be another Starliner flight test before the Starliner-1 flight?
Jun 20, 8:11 PMJun 30, 5:59 AM
3.34%chance
2111119
OptionVotes
5378
186
Which happens first: Starship / Superheavy recovery or second crewed Starliner flight?
Jun 6, 11:20 PMSep 2, 5:59 AM
289088
OptionProbability
92
8
OptionVotes
1453
396
Will the next Starliner crewed flight be a complete Success?
Aug 25, 9:02 AMJan 1, 6:59 AM
38.06%chance
425217
OptionVotes
1276
784
Which happens first? Starliner-2, Psyche arrival, Artemis III, or New Glenn 15?
Aug 10, 2:15 PMSep 1, 5:59 AM
163471
OptionProbability
77
16
5
1
1
Will any of the next four Starliner flights be crewed?
Nov 24, 8:50 PMDec 31, 3:59 PM
71.13%chance
221385
OptionVotes
1011
214
OptionVotes
2117
472
OptionVotes
1154
929
Starlink (SpaceX) has operational internet satellites in Mars orbit by 2045
Jan 28, 7:49 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM
58.63%chance
19627
OptionVotes
1026
947
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