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Prediction markets for Starline
OptionProbability
74
59
1
0
0
0
0
Will Starliner have crew on it next time it's launched to orbit?
Jun 25, 12:17 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM
0.95%chance
2920277
OptionVotes
10223
98
Will there be another Starliner flight test before the Starliner-1 flight?
Jun 20, 8:11 PMJun 30, 5:59 AM
3.07%chance
2211379
OptionVotes
5618
178
OptionVotes
2065
166
Will the next Starliner crewed flight be a complete Success?
Aug 25, 9:02 AMJan 1, 6:59 AM
64.02%chance
425799
OptionVotes
1334
750
Which happens first? Starliner-2, Psyche arrival, Artemis III, or New Glenn 15?
Aug 10, 2:15 PMSep 1, 5:59 AM
163726
OptionProbability
78
17
3
1
1
Will anyone on Earth be injured by debris from a Starlink satellite by the start of 2035?
Jan 15, 9:27 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM
10.35%chance
132254
OptionVotes
2943
340
Will any of the next four Starliner flights be crewed?
Nov 24, 8:50 PMDec 31, 3:59 PM
76.49%chance
231493
OptionVotes
1112
178
OptionVotes
1930
518
OptionVotes
1154
929
Starlink (SpaceX) has operational internet satellites in Mars orbit by 2045
Jan 28, 7:49 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM
58.63%chance
19627
OptionVotes
1026
947
Would Starlink keep providing coverage in case of an all out nuclear war?
Jan 15, 11:44 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM
17.21%chance
21576
OptionVotes
1264
922
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