Starship News

SpaceX Seeks 21-Acre Starbase Expansion With On-Site LNG Plant

5 months ago

Space

Science

SpaceX Plans Starship V3 Flight by End of 2025; V4 to Reach 150 Meters, 7,500 Tons, and Triple Saturn V Thrust by 2027

5 months ago

Space

Tech

Science

SpaceX Booster Flies 30th Mission as Starship Survives Trial by Re-entry

5 months ago

Italy

Space

Science

SpaceX Signs First Mars Starship Deal With Italian Space Agency

5 months ago

Space

Science

SpaceX Taps Starship for Higher-Capacity Starlink V3 Deployments

5 months ago

Space

Science

Rocket Lab Hits 70 Launches, SpaceX Cargo Reaches ISS, Starship Retry Slated Tonight

110

5 months ago

Space

Science

SpaceX Ramps Up Starship Production as Launch Scrub, Florida Push Test Program

5 months ago

Space

Florida

Science

Elon Musk’s SpaceX Starship, Largest Vehicle Ever, Plans Over 24 Daily Launches and Florida Site with Musk Attending

5 months ago

When will Starship flight 13 happen?

Oct 13, 11:42 PMMay 31, 11:40 PM

34163219

OptionProbability

Before 2026-07-01

Before 2026-06-01

Before 2026-05-16

Before 2026-05-01

Before 2026-04-01

Before 2026-02-01

Before 2026-03-01

When will Starship complete an orbit?

Feb 4, 11:06 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

171147638

OptionProbability

Before 2026-11-01

Before 2026-10-01

Before 2026-09-01

Before 2026-08-01

Before 2026-07-01

Before 2026-06-01

Before 2026-05-01

Before 2026-02-01

Before 2026-03-01

Before 2026-04-01

February 2024

March 2024 or earlier

April 2024 or earlier

May 2024 or earlier

June 2024 or earlier

July 2024 or earlier

August 2024 or earlier

September 2024 or earlier

October 2024 or earlier

November 2024 or earlier

December 2024 or earlier

January 2025 or earlier

Before 2025-03-01

Before 2025-04-01

Before 2025-05-01

Before 2025-06-01

Before 2025-07-01

Before 2025-08-01

Before 2025-09-01

Before 2025-10-01

Before 2025-11-01

Before 2025-12-01

Before 2026-01-01

Will SpaceX send a Starship to Mars before 2028?

Feb 7, 6:16 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM

8.28%chance

170147567

OptionVotes

YES

3743

452

Will Starship reach Mars by 2030?

Apr 22, 2:09 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

39.81%chance

23984929

OptionVotes

YES

2443

1835

Will the first uncrewed Starship to Mars launch within 2 years as Elon Musk says?

Sep 8, 6:54 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

7.44%chance

10026053

OptionVotes

YES

5568

1357

Will Starship launch one hundred times by 2030?

Apr 22, 2:12 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

39%chance

5322554

OptionVotes

YES

1659

813

How many Starship launches will occur in 2026?

Aug 2, 1:13 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

2119815

OptionProbability

5 or more

7 or more

10 or more

15 or more

20 or more

Will the first crewed Starship to Mars launch within 4 years as Elon Musk says?

Sep 8, 6:55 PMMar 1, 4:59 AM

2.52%chance

3213321

OptionVotes

YES

6849

490

Will two Starships dock together in orbit before 2027?

Apr 16, 11:09 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

12.05%chance

429710

OptionVotes

YES

1842

Starship to Mars Multi-choice Matrix

Sep 9, 8:01 AMMar 30, 3:59 PM

206142

OptionProbability

No Starship launch in 2026, no Starship launch in 2028

No Starship launch in 2026, uncrewed Starship launch in 2028

Uncrewed Starship launch in 2026, uncrewed Starship launch in 2028

Uncrewed Starship launch in 2026, no Starship launch in 2028

Uncrewed Starship launch in 2026, crewed Starship launch in 2028

No Starship launch in 2026, crewed Starship launch in 2028

Crewed Starship launch in 2026

Will SpaceX successfully land Starship on Mars before January 1st 2030?

Oct 16, 11:29 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

25.63%chance

485495

OptionVotes

YES

1473

733

[ACX 2026] Will SpaceX successfully refuel a Starship in orbit during 2026?

Jan 6, 10:36 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

35.01%chance

202129

OptionVotes

YES

5675

3743

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Elon Musk Plans Mass Production of Starship to Land Humans on Mars in 5 Years, Aims for Self-Sustaining Colony in 30 Years
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6 months ago

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Prediction markets for Starship

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When will Starship flight 13 happen?

When will Starship complete an orbit?

Will SpaceX send a Starship to Mars before 2028?

Will Starship reach Mars by 2030?

Will the first uncrewed Starship to Mars launch within 2 years as Elon Musk says?

Will Starship launch one hundred times by 2030?

How many Starship launches will occur in 2026?

Will the first crewed Starship to Mars launch within 4 years as Elon Musk says?

Will two Starships dock together in orbit before 2027?

Starship to Mars Multi-choice Matrix

Will SpaceX successfully land Starship on Mars before January 1st 2030?

[ACX 2026] Will SpaceX successfully refuel a Starship in orbit during 2026?

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