State of the Union News
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Prediction markets for State of the Union
OptionProbability
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
95
89
86
83
80
79
78
77
77
76
72
71
68
67
64
63
62
54
50
50
50
49
47
45
44
43
34
33
32
29
27
26
25
24
22
18
16
16
15
15
15
14
14
14
13
12
11
11
10
9
9
8
8
7
6
5
5
3
3
2
2
0
Will there be 50 states in the union by the end of 2036?
Jul 3, 3:43 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
53.3%chance
1614186
OptionVotes
11095
8929
As of November 2028, will any of the current 50 US states attempt to secede from the Union.
Dec 28, 1:16 PMNov 1, 10:59 AM
15.15%chance
263216
OptionVotes
1203
942
Will there be a state introduced or removed from the union by 2030?
Jan 12, 9:46 PMJan 2, 5:59 AM
13.54%chance
302442
OptionVotes
1939
741
🇺🇸💥🇪🇺 Will there be a war between the United States and an EU country or European Union as a whole by end of 2028?
Apr 6, 11:43 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
10.2%chance
71181
OptionVotes
145
94
Will Italy be a member state of the European Union by the start of 2030?
Dec 16, 8:13 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM
91.43%chance
15609
OptionVotes
1343
938
Will a majority of Democratic Congresspeople boycott any of Trump’s State of the Union addresses?
Mar 27, 4:46 AMMar 1, 11:59 PM
30.56%chance
10517
OptionVotes
1507
663
Paired Market: In what way will Puerto Rico no longer be a US Territory?
Aug 5, 5:48 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM
10380
OptionProbability
51
32
14
3
Which member state of the European Union will be the first to achieve a life expectancy of 90 at birth for females?
Apr 15, 3:11 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
5298
OptionProbability
43
40
38
34
34
Will a European Union member state be one of the first 10 countries to select 10% of its population for IQ?
Jun 30, 1:29 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
46%chance
16284
OptionVotes
1036
965
By the end of 2027 will there be a new state or a new union territory in the Republic of India?
Aug 8, 8:41 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
32.49%chance
7153
OptionVotes
170
135
Will the next state to be added to the Union include territories of 2023's the District of Columbia?
Apr 8, 4:56 PMJan 1, 2:59 AM
37.51%chance
324
OptionVotes
108
76
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