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Prediction markets for Stella
Will Stellantis (Chrysler, Peugeot, Citroën, ...) go bankrupt before 2030?
Sep 24, 6:04 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM
17.75%chance
14880
OptionVotes
1077
956
Who will be the Labour candidate for the next London mayoral election (scheduled 2028)?
Jul 22, 3:12 AMApr 30, 11:59 PM
9707
OptionProbability
32
27
16
7
5
4
3
2
2
2
OptionProbability
37
24
7
6
6
6
4
4
3
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
OptionVotes
444
22
Previously unpublished Cormac McCarthy work released before 2028?
May 21, 4:16 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
35.02%chance
7275
OptionVotes
150
83
Will any of FORD / GENERAL MOTORS / STELLANTIS declare any chapter of bankruptcy between now and 2027?
Jan 2, 1:58 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
9.76%chance
6204
OptionVotes
304
33
OptionVotes
105
96
Will any of Ford, GM, Stellantis be bailed out by the US Government by EOY 2026
Jan 1, 4:28 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
6.75%chance
3136
OptionVotes
186
13
Will Ford, GM, or Stellantis be bailed out by the US Government by end 2028?
Oct 19, 10:01 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
41.36%chance
9129
OptionVotes
156
133
Will stellar lifting be used to extend the Sun's lifespan to more than 15 billion years?
Oct 13, 9:27 PMOct 21, 3:59 AM
52.48%chance
4110
OptionVotes
203
153
OptionProbability
60
14
14
11
Will Alex Zhu ever feel a stellar migraine, or "the suffering of Jesus Christ", in his lifetime?
Jul 22, 9:08 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
50%chance
00
OptionVotes
100
100