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Top stories
Prediction markets for Storis
What news stories of the 2020s will be included in respected history textbooks published in the 2050s?
May 23, 7:10 AMDec 30, 7:59 AM
8819859
OptionProbability
98
97
88
82
82
82
78
75
65
63
62
57
54
51
51
51
40
21
19
OptionVotes
12411
841
Which One Piece character will have an Eye Patch at the end of the story?
Mar 4, 3:16 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM
433056
OptionProbability
30
24
21
20
2
2
0
0
0
[planecrash] Will Keltham survive the story, including epilogue?
Apr 4, 1:47 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM
91.75%chance
152522
OptionVotes
1649
900
Will Joscha Bach OR janus/repligate OR nearcyan OR NickCammarata be mentioned in FanFiction.Net story by EOY2026?
Jan 13, 6:56 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
6.92%chance
31198
OptionVotes
367
27
Will a AAA single-player game use artificial intelligence for real-time story generation by the beginning of 2035?
Dec 6, 1:31 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM
90.42%chance
16748
OptionVotes
1664
878
Will "The CIA Poisoned My Dog: Two Stories About Pa..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
Jan 1, 10:09 AMFeb 1, 12:00 AM
9.91%chance
4621
OptionVotes
1401
947
Will The Expanse TV show return to finish the story?
Sep 10, 11:42 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
50.99%chance
17377
OptionVotes
1043
943
OptionProbability
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
50
50
50
50
50
50
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Will J.K. Rowling ever write another story taking place in the Harry Potter universe?
Aug 2, 11:51 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM
84.8%chance
792
OptionVotes
210
99
Will "My supervillain origin story" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
Jan 30, 9:15 PMFeb 1, 12:00 AM
7.16%chance
190
OptionVotes
190
90
Will any major science fiction short story markets lift their categorical ban on writing with LLMs by 2030?
Jul 25, 6:48 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
44.84%chance
328
OptionVotes
111
90
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