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What’s the least impressive thing you’re very sure AI still won’t be able to do before August 2027? [read description]
Jul 20, 4:26 AMJul 20, 4:15 AM
31575479
OptionProbability
100
100
92
90
87
87
85
85
84
84
73
72
71
70
68
62
59
53
47
46
45
43
40
36
33
30
21
20
17
15
9
9
9
7
6
5
4
3
2
Video generation model solves Sudoku puzzles by EOY 2026?
Sep 28, 6:23 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
21.53%chance
182029
OptionVotes
1357
90
Within a year of when we talk to whales, will they be able to solve Sudoku?
Dec 4, 3:33 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
8.37%chance
241553
OptionVotes
1112
299
When will LLMs be able to generate formal proof for sudoku solver?
Sep 20, 7:35 AMJan 27, 7:59 PM
6690
OptionProbability
97
2
1
0
Which of the following capabilities will AI have before 2030? [add your own]
Nov 10, 9:28 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM
12463
OptionProbability
97
91
73
40
30
OptionProbability
26
25
20
17
7
5
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