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Prediction markets for Superintelligence Lab
If AI wipes out humanity will everyone on Earth fall over dead in the same second?
Feb 27, 7:12 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
8.7%chance
14336408
OptionVotes
5405
1263
2. Details of SSI’s research and technology will leak. The big labs will make meaningful adjustments [See full title!]
Dec 28, 11:21 AMDec 29, 11:20 AM
29%chance
171855
OptionVotes
1567
640
Thinking Machines Lab releases product before Safe Superintelligence?
Aug 18, 2:51 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
92.75%chance
14638
OptionVotes
358
28
"Will Google DeepMind release a system where the AI itself (not human engineers) generates improvements to its own code
Nov 5, 9:15 PMDec 15, 11:59 PM
7.26%chance
7598
OptionVotes
357
28
Will mitigation of AI propaganda & "botpocalypse" concerns get $10m+ from EA funders before 2030?
Nov 1, 9:04 PMJan 2, 6:59 AM
59.64%chance
643
OptionVotes
223
191
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