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Surge News

    Prediction markets for Surge

    Is China’s LVA Surgery a legitimate treatment for Alzheimer’s?

    Nov 23, 6:21 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
    10.31%chance
    4429652

    OptionVotes

    YES

    NO

    29503

    3714

    OptionProbability

    "designate cartels as Foreign Terrorist Organizations"

    "defend your Second Amendment right to keep and bear arms"

    "end catch-and-release, restore Remain in Mexico, and eliminate asylum fraud"

    empower the President to impose reciprocal tariffs

    "lower taxes"

    "deputize the National Guard and local law enforcement to assist with rapidly removing illegal alien gang members and criminals"

    "keep men out of women’s sports"

    "increase penalties for assaults on law enforcement"

    "open Civil Rights investigations into any school district that has engaged in race-based discrimination"

    "order the Department of Defense to inflict maximum damage on cartel leadership and operations"

    "reward states and school districts that abolish teacher tenure for grades K-12 and adopt Merit Pay"

    "REVOKE China’s Most Favored Nation trade status"

    "stop all COVID mandates"

    "more jobs for American workers"

    "deliver a merit-based immigration system that protects American labor and promotes American values"

    "cut the number of school administrators"

    "choke off [cartels'] access to the global financial system"

    "cut federal funding for any school or program pushing Critical Race Theory or gender ideology on our children"

    "ask Congress to ensure that drug smugglers and traffickers can receive the Death Penalty"

    "strengthen qualified immunity and other protections for police officers"

    "uphold your religious liberty, including the Constitutional right to pray in public schools"

    "bigger paychecks"

    "implement a 4-year national reshoring plan so that the United States no longer needs to rely on China for essential medical and national security goods"

    "put violent offenders and career criminals behind bars"

    "build a state-of-the-art next-generation missile defense shield"

    "surge federal prosecutors and the National Guard into high-crime communities"

    "adopt a Parental Bill of Rights"

    "banning taxpayer funds from being used to categorize lawful speech for purposes of illicit censorship"

    "banning federal agencies from censoring speech"

    "passing a digital bill of rights"

    "enacting landmark legislation to drastically limit the ability of big social media platforms to restrict free speech"

    "stopping federal funding for all non-profits and academic programs engaged in censorship"

    declassify the 'Epstein files'

    "create a credentialing body to certify teachers who embrace patriotic values"

    "pass a bold range of critical election integrity measures that include banning unsecure drop boxes and ballot harvesting"

    "deliver record funding to hire and retrain police officers"

    "veto the sinister effort to weaponize civics education"

    "increase fairness through price transparency"

    "reduce the soaring price of gasoline, diesel and natural gas"

    "get the full cooperation of neighboring governments to dismantle the cartels, or else expose every bribe and kickback that allows these criminal networks to preserve their brutal reign"

    "continue to nominate highly qualified prosecutors, judges, and justices who believe in enforcing the law, not their own political agenda"

    "protect Medicare, Social Security, and patients with pre-existing conditions"

    "reduce the cost of prescription drugs and health insurance premiums"

    "firing any federal bureaucrat who has engaged in censoring the lawful speech of American citizens"

    "ban private money from pouring into local election offices"

    "get Biden’s radical left ideology out of our military and rehire every patriot who was unjustly fired"

    "a ban on members of Congress trading stocks with insider information"

    "end surprise medical billing"

    "ban Chinese ownership of all critical infrastructure in the United States"

    "reform our election laws to verify the identity and eligibility of all voters"

    "impose a total naval embargo on cartels"

    "a permanent ban on taxpayer funding of campaigns"

    "a lifetime ban on lobbying by former members of Congress and cabinet members"

    "implement the direct election of school principals by the parents"

    "a constitutional amendment to impose term limits on members of Congress"

    "keep America out of unnecessary foreign wars"

    100

    91

    89

    88

    82

    79

    73

    71

    71

    65

    63

    63

    58

    53

    50

    48

    47

    45

    44

    44

    44

    42

    42

    42

    42

    40

    40

    40

    40

    38

    37

    36

    36

    34

    34

    31

    31

    31

    28

    27

    27

    26

    25

    24

    23

    22

    21

    19

    18

    18

    16

    16

    13

    11

    7

    0

    Will Wendy's introduce surge pricing by the end of 2025?

    Feb 27, 8:09 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
    9.96%chance
    292425

    OptionVotes

    YES

    NO

    2605

    625

    OptionVotes

    YES

    NO

    1092

    908

    Will ASI be achieved before a surgery takes place on the moon

    Mar 29, 11:03 AMDec 6, 4:59 AM
    69.52%chance
    222102

    OptionVotes

    YES

    NO

    987

    967

    Will a surgery take place on the moon before Jeff Bezos dies

    Mar 29, 10:55 AMDec 6, 4:59 AM
    18.99%chance
    191294

    OptionVotes

    YES

    NO

    1257

    904

    OptionVotes

    YES

    NO

    1141

    882

    Will AI Cause a 10x Surge in Lawsuits or Legal Industry GDP by 2033?

    Apr 7, 6:43 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
    11.74%chance
    10477

    OptionVotes

    YES

    NO

    188

    108

    Who is Ash's father? (Pokemon)

    Mar 2, 6:19 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
    7420

    OptionProbability

    They will never reveal / it is just some random unnamed guy

    Other

    Giovanni

    Professor Oak

    Mr. Mime

    God/Immaculate Conception

    Lt Surge

    Time travelling Gary Oak

    33

    28

    21

    5

    4

    4

    3

    2

    OptionProbability

    Other

    A new global pandemic

    A major natural disaster affecting multiple states

    A prolonged labor strike in the paper manufacturing industry

    Significant disruptions in the supply chain due to geopolitical conflicts

    A severe economic recession leading to panic buying

    A cyberattack disrupting logistics and distribution networks

    Government-imposed lockdowns or curfews

    A sudden surge in population due to mass migration

    A widespread power grid failure

    A major transportation strike affecting goods delivery

    A significant increase in raw material costs for paper production

    A viral social media trend promoting toilet paper stockpiling

    A recall of contaminated toilet paper products

    A major fire or accident at a key toilet paper manufacturing plant

    A new tax or tariff on imported paper goods

    A significant increase in toilet paper exports reducing domestic supply

    A major political event causing widespread uncertainty

    A disruption in water supply leading to increased toilet paper usage

    A significant technological failure in manufacturing equipment

    A sudden change in consumer behavior due to health advisories

    19

    7

    7

    4

    4

    4

    4

    4

    4

    4

    4

    4

    4

    4

    4

    4

    4

    4

    4

    4

    3

    OptionProbability

    By 2026-01-01

    By 2025-11-01

    By 2024-04-01

    By 2024-07-01

    By 2025-01-01

    76

    50

    0

    0

    0

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