Taiwan News
Top stories
Prediction markets for Taiwan
Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan before 2030?
May 24, 1:01 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
33.28%chance
1007559653
OptionVotes
17140
12691
Will China attempt to invade Taiwan by the end of 2027?
Oct 5, 1:22 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
13.9%chance
575175430
OptionVotes
7490
4822
OptionVotes
3140
877
Will the US attack Cuba before China attacks Taiwan?
Jan 31, 4:08 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
68.42%chance
4812611
OptionVotes
14721
6793
Will China invade the Kinmen Islands of Taiwan before Trump leaves office?
Nov 8, 8:56 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
28.67%chance
4812232
OptionVotes
2940
1447
If China invades Taiwan will the invasion be successful? [No Survivorship Bias]
Feb 24, 12:52 AMJan 1, 12:57 AM
54.71%chance
488660
OptionVotes
1219
759
Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan by the end of 2028?
Mar 3, 3:58 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
21.31%chance
467164
OptionVotes
987
940
Will I think by 2030 that substantial quantities of TSMC chip fabs were destroyed due to China invading Taiwan
Dec 15, 6:47 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
33.16%chance
22378
OptionVotes
1080
788
What will be the national vote share, by party, in the City Mayor and Country Magistrate elections in Taiwan in 2026?
Dec 23, 3:51 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
00
OptionProbability
20
20
20
20
20
Will the KMT gain, hold or lose seats in the 2026 City Mayor and County Magistrate elections in Taiwan?
Dec 23, 4:22 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
00
OptionProbability
33
33
33
Will the DPP gain, hold or lose seats in the 2026 City Mayor and County Magistrate elections in Taiwan?
Dec 23, 4:20 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
00
OptionProbability
33
33
33
Which team will be the 2026 CPBL Second-Half Champion? (Taiwan Baseball)
Mar 9, 3:11 AMOct 15, 11:59 PM
00
OptionProbability
17
17
17
17
17
17