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Prediction markets for Take It Outside
Instant deepfakes of anyone (doing anything) by the end of 2027?
Dec 7, 10:12 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
78.04%chance
508725007
OptionVotes
16811
12177
OptionProbability
1122
904
Will more US AI models be subject to US export control directives by the end of 2026?
Jun 15, 2:03 PMJan 1, 11:00 AM
6.58%chance
3811521
OptionVotes
3767
265
Will a human walk on Mars before we get a cure for cancer?
Feb 3, 7:29 PMMar 1, 10:59 PM
68.25%chance
241825
OptionVotes
1006
924
Intoxicating hemp-derived THC products federally banned in U.S. by end of 2026?
Nov 13, 5:15 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
67.17%chance
91536
OptionVotes
1430
699
Will we discover alien life before we get a cure for cancer?
Feb 11, 3:03 PMMar 1, 10:59 PM
20.54%chance
331116
OptionVotes
1172
939
OptionVotes
1766
566
Will there be a fistfight or other similar physical altercation in US Congress (house or senate) before 2030?
Sep 26, 5:37 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
41.03%chance
17805
OptionVotes
1199
834
OptionVotes
1053
738
Will a military skirmish with at least one casualty take place outside of Earth's atmosphere before 2050?
Feb 3, 11:52 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM
54.25%chance
11553
OptionVotes
275
102
OptionVotes
1169
927
OptionProbability
50
50
50
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