Test News

Joe Root Climbs to No.2 on All-Time Test Runs List

8 days ago

Mohammed Siraj Takes Six-Wicket Haul in Second Test; Bumrah Confirmed, Kamboj Added Amid India Injuries for Manchester Test

12 days ago

India

Britain

Cricket

India Leads by 52 Runs in Decisive Fifth Test at The Oval as Woakes Ruled Out, Karun Nair Scores Maiden Fifty

1 day ago

Cricket

Sports

Karun Nair Returns to Indian Test Team After Eight Years as India Trails 2-1 Following 22-Run Lord's Loss

16 days ago

Cricket

Sports

Australia Completes 3-0 Test Whitewash Over West Indies with Starc’s 6-9, Boland’s Hat-Trick, Hazlewood’s 5-43, and Russell’s Retirement

19 days ago

South Africa

Rugby

Sports

Willie Le Roux Earns 100th Cap as Springboks Beat Italy 45-0 at Nelson Mandela Bay Stadium to Seal 2-0 Series Win

22 days ago

India

Cricket

Sports

Rishabh Pant Sustains Left Index Finger Injury, Dhruv Jurel Keeps Wickets at Lord's Test from July 10

22 days ago

Cricket

Sports

Mohammed Siraj Clarifies Jasprit Bumrah's Availability and Akash Deep Injury for Second and Fourth England Tests

1 month ago

AGI When? [High Quality Turing Test]

Mar 27, 12:37 AMMar 22, 6:59 AM

10611038771

Will AI pass the Longbets version of the Turing test by the end of 2029?

Feb 14, 2:31 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

56.11%chance

940600462

OptionVotes

YES

11210

8825

Before 2030, will an AI complete the Turing Test in the Kurzweil/Kapor Longbet?

Apr 8, 7:19 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

54.54%chance

5427446

OptionVotes

YES

1057

771

Will Ray Kurzweil win his 2029 Turing Test bet with Mitchell Kapor?

Feb 18, 8:14 PMJan 1, 5:00 AM

54.54%chance

6311679

OptionVotes

YES

1000

937

Will GPT-5 score at least 100 in an IQ test?

Feb 27, 9:20 PMJan 1, 9:59 PM

88.57%chance

968689

OptionVotes

YES

3035

558

Will my Nucleus Genomics DNA test reveal me to be above 5% jewish?

Apr 24, 11:26 PMApr 24, 11:20 PM

31.4%chance

187419

OptionVotes

YES

14782

6765

Top 5 most useful tests for AGI

Oct 17, 4:01 AMFeb 1, 7:59 AM

264461

OptionProbability

Build, debug and test until its of sufficient quality, a complex piece of software like a mobile app including a backend service

Beating Pokemon games

HCAST - METR

Manually rearrange and overlap 100 random images in an image editor (with no other kinds of edits) to create a recognizable portrait

ARC-AGI (any version)

Wozniak Coffee Test (requires controlling a robot)

Opinion poll of Manifold userbase

Predict the output of an arbitrary set of NAND gates and inputs

Will the Oscars Best Picture winner for 2027 pass the Bechdel Test? (awarded in 2028)

Dec 29, 6:46 PMApr 1, 3:59 AM

54.73%chance

291794

OptionVotes

YES

2090

1821

Will any country that is not currently known to have nuclear weapons detonate a nuclear weapon in 2026? (Tests included)

Jun 29, 8:40 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

11.84%chance

41754

OptionVotes

YES

2729

366

Will AI be able to write, compile, and unit test a single .c file to reproduce GPT-2 training from PyTorch code by 2026?

Apr 9, 4:13 PMApr 9, 6:29 PM

70.13%chance

291047

OptionVotes

YES

1107

930

Will AI pass the Rube Goldberg Turing test by the end of 2028?

Jul 18, 7:00 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

37.62%chance

12670

OptionVotes

YES

1288

777

Will a robot be created that is capable of passing Steve Wozniak's "The Coffee Test" before 2030?

Dec 29, 8:46 AMDec 31, 7:59 AM

73.87%chance

16417

OptionVotes

YES

1100

950

Latest stories

Aug 1, 2025
Aug 1, 2025
India
Britain
Cricket
India Leads by 52 Runs in Decisive Fifth Test at The Oval as Woakes Ruled Out, Karun Nair Scores Maiden Fifty
Authors
5
1 day ago
Jul 25, 2025
Jul 25, 2025
Cricket
Sports
Joe Root Climbs to No.2 on All-Time Test Runs List
Authors
7
8 days ago
Jul 21, 2025
Jul 21, 2025
India
Cricket
Sports
Mohammed Siraj Takes Six-Wicket Haul in Second Test; Bumrah Confirmed, Kamboj Added Amid India Injuries for Manchester Test
Authors
8
12 days ago
Jul 17, 2025
Jul 17, 2025
Cricket
Sports
Karun Nair Returns to Indian Test Team After Eight Years as India Trails 2-1 Following 22-Run Lord's Loss
Authors
23
16 days ago
Jul 14, 2025
Jul 14, 2025
Cricket
Sports
Australia Completes 3-0 Test Whitewash Over West Indies with Starc’s 6-9, Boland’s Hat-Trick, Hazlewood’s 5-43, and Russell’s Retirement
Authors
31
19 days ago
Jul 11, 2025
Jul 11, 2025
South Africa
Rugby
Sports
Willie Le Roux Earns 100th Cap as Springboks Beat Italy 45-0 at Nelson Mandela Bay Stadium to Seal 2-0 Series Win
Authors
9
22 days ago
Jul 11, 2025
Jul 11, 2025
India
Cricket
Sports
Rishabh Pant Sustains Left Index Finger Injury, Dhruv Jurel Keeps Wickets at Lord's Test from July 10
Authors
12
22 days ago
Jul 1, 2025
Jul 1, 2025
Cricket
Sports
Mohammed Siraj Clarifies Jasprit Bumrah's Availability and Akash Deep Injury for Second and Fourth England Tests
Authors
6
1 month ago
Jun 24, 2025
Jun 24, 2025
Cricket
Sports
Rishabh Pant Scores 134 and 118 at Headingley, First Indian Wicketkeeper with Twin Centuries in Anderson-Tendulkar Trophy Test
Authors
14
1 month ago

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AGI When? [High Quality Turing Test]

Will AI pass the Longbets version of the Turing test by the end of 2029?

Before 2030, will an AI complete the Turing Test in the Kurzweil/Kapor Longbet?

Will Ray Kurzweil win his 2029 Turing Test bet with Mitchell Kapor?

Will GPT-5 score at least 100 in an IQ test?

Will my Nucleus Genomics DNA test reveal me to be above 5% jewish?

Top 5 most useful tests for AGI

Will the Oscars Best Picture winner for 2027 pass the Bechdel Test? (awarded in 2028)

Will any country that is not currently known to have nuclear weapons detonate a nuclear weapon in 2026? (Tests included)

Will AI be able to write, compile, and unit test a single .c file to reproduce GPT-2 training from PyTorch code by 2026?

Will AI pass the Rube Goldberg Turing test by the end of 2028?

Will a robot be created that is capable of passing Steve Wozniak's "The Coffee Test" before 2030?

Latest stories

Join our channels

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Telegram