Test News

Pakistan Overhauls Asia Cup Squad as India Finalises Picks for 19 Aug Reveal

10 months ago

Bob Simpson, Former Australian Captain and Coach Who Played 62 Tests, Dies at 89 After Building 1989 Ashes Team

Cricket

Obituary

Sports

Bob Simpson, Former Australian Captain and Coach Who Played 62 Tests, Dies at 89 After Building 1989 Ashes Team

10 months ago

India

Cricket

Sports

India’s Cheteshwar Pujara Ends 103-Test Career

10 months ago

Britain

Cricket

Sports

England Cricket Names 21-Year-Old Jacob Bethell Youngest Men’s Captain

10 months ago

AGI When? [High Quality Turing Test]

Mar 27, 12:37 AMMar 22, 6:59 AM

10751131473

OptionProbability

2029-2030

2028-2029

2030-2031

2031-2032

2032-2033

2033-2034

2034-2035

2035-2036

2027-2028

2036-2037

2037-2038

2038-2039

2049-2050

2026-2027

2039-2040

2040-2041

2041-2042

2042-2043

2043-2044

2044-2045

2045-2046

2046-2047

2047-2048

2048-2049

2024-2025

2025-2026

Will AI pass the Longbets version of the Turing test by the end of 2029?

Feb 14, 2:31 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

53.68%chance

985744202

OptionVotes

YES

10678

9273

Before 2030, will an AI complete the Turing Test in the Kurzweil/Kapor Longbet?

Apr 8, 7:19 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

49.77%chance

6028363

OptionVotes

YES

1136

685

Will Ray Kurzweil win his 2029 Turing Test bet with Mitchell Kapor?

Feb 18, 8:14 PMJan 1, 5:00 AM

54.54%chance

6311791

OptionVotes

YES

1000

937

Will a robot be created that is capable of passing Steve Wozniak's "The Coffee Test" before 2029?

Jul 9, 11:20 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

77.18%chance

222072

OptionVotes

YES

1890

371

Will the Oscars Best Picture winner for 2027 pass the Bechdel Test? (awarded in 2028)

Dec 29, 6:46 PMApr 1, 3:59 AM

54.73%chance

301932

OptionVotes

YES

2090

1821

Will AI pass the Rube Goldberg Turing test by the end of 2028?

Jul 18, 7:00 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

36.9%chance

13690

OptionVotes

YES

1308

765

By 2027 will there be a language model that passes a redteam test for honesty?

Oct 12, 5:59 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM

27%chance

14643

OptionVotes

YES

1073

955

Will a robot be created that is capable of passing Steve Wozniak's "The Coffee Test" before 2028?

Jul 9, 11:12 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

29%chance

6531

OptionVotes

YES

1011

888

An algorithm exists that can run on a Game Boy Advance that will pass one of the AGI tests in the linked question

Oct 17, 4:18 AMMar 26, 6:59 AM

40.78%chance

4235

OptionVotes

YES

1205

830

Will Bryan Johnson test the functional age of his T cells/ hepatocytes via functional assays by 2028? (#NewLimit)

May 24, 10:49 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

52.36%chance

150

OptionVotes

YES

1048

954

Test

Jan 23, 7:43 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

OptionProbability

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AGI When? [High Quality Turing Test]

Will AI pass the Longbets version of the Turing test by the end of 2029?

Before 2030, will an AI complete the Turing Test in the Kurzweil/Kapor Longbet?

Will Ray Kurzweil win his 2029 Turing Test bet with Mitchell Kapor?

Will a robot be created that is capable of passing Steve Wozniak's "The Coffee Test" before 2029?

Will the Oscars Best Picture winner for 2027 pass the Bechdel Test? (awarded in 2028)

Will AI pass the Rube Goldberg Turing test by the end of 2028?

By 2027 will there be a language model that passes a redteam test for honesty?

Will a robot be created that is capable of passing Steve Wozniak's "The Coffee Test" before 2028?

An algorithm exists that can run on a Game Boy Advance that will pass one of the AGI tests in the linked question

Will Bryan Johnson test the functional age of his T cells/ hepatocytes via functional assays by 2028? (#NewLimit)

Test

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