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Top stories

General Zod Actor Terence Stamp Dies at 87

General Zod Actor Terence Stamp Dies at 87

Authors

111

1 year ago

Prediction markets for The Adjustment Bureau

Will the U.S. enter a recession in Trump's second term?

Mar 13, 3:40 PMJan 21, 4:59 AM

40.98%chance

350295043

OptionVotes

YES

NO

6430

3801

Will Zvi Mowshowitz 'like' each of these movies?

Aug 25, 3:08 AMDec 31, 6:53 PM

2712989

OptionProbability

The Man Who Killed Don Quioxte

Brazil

The Secret Life of Walter Mitty

Mr. Nobody

Welcome to the N-H-K

The Assessment

Revlover

The Congress (2013)

Lurker

Code 3

Masthishka Maranam

The Artist

The French Dispatch

The Fountain

The Square

Cosmopolis

Swiss Army Man

Cloud Atlas

Southland Tales

Fitzcarraldo

The Grand Budapest Hotel

62

61

60

54

53

51

50

50

50

50

50

50

50

49

48

47

46

43

43

40

0

Will unemployment in the US be higher in September 2026 than in either September 2022 or September 2024?

Jan 4, 2:27 PMNov 1, 6:59 AM

92.57%chance

204183

OptionVotes

NO

YES

3529

283

Will there be an attempt of a radical cognitive enhancement program with clinical trials on humans by January 1, 2030?

May 17, 11:14 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

36.9%chance

241876

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4120

3063

Will the bureau of labor say computer programmers' (inflation-adjusted) salaries decreased between 2023 and 2030?

Jan 5, 7:27 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

38.24%chance

461473

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1080

817

Will it be substantially more expensive to fly in the USA, in 2028?

Aug 22, 12:47 PMAug 2, 6:59 AM

23.04%chance

261111

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1150

881

Will any year's US GDP reach 130% of all previous years by 2035?

Nov 3, 5:37 AMNov 10, 7:59 AM

21.68%chance

161038

OptionVotes

YES

NO

190

53

Will an AI Event/Consequence cause a recession by end of 2030?

Aug 14, 1:17 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

23%chance

4864

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1830

547

Will the real US GDP grow more than 5% per year in any year before 2030?

Nov 7, 10:17 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

64.05%chance

15792

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1335

749

Labor: US labor force participation in December 2027?

Aug 8, 7:10 AMJan 1, 5:00 AM

69.05%chance

3107

OptionProbability

YES

NO

1075

806

Will the U.S. enter a recession in Trump's second term?

Aug 1, 4:23 PMJan 21, 4:59 AM

41.19%chance

593

OptionVotes

YES

NO

104

97

How will GiveWell's 2027 Program salary expenses compare to 2022's?

Dec 3, 7:34 PMJul 1, 2:59 AM

230

OptionProbability

More than 150% of 2022

90-110% of 2022

Less than 50% of 2022

70-90% of 2022

110-130% of 2022

130-150% of 2022

50-70% of 2022

21

20

12

12

12

12

11

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Aug 17, 2025
Aug 17, 2025
Obituary
Movies
Culture
General Zod Actor Terence Stamp Dies at 87
Authors
111
1 year ago

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