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Top stories

General Zod Actor Terence Stamp Dies at 87

General Zod Actor Terence Stamp Dies at 87

Authors

111

10 months ago

Prediction markets for The Adjustment Bureau

Will the U.S. enter a recession in Trump's second term?

Mar 13, 3:40 PMJan 21, 4:59 AM

46%chance

346291594

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5852

4245

Will unemployment in the US be higher in September 2026 than in either September 2022 or September 2024?

Jan 4, 2:27 PMNov 1, 6:59 AM

90.57%chance

183753

OptionVotes

NO

YES

3099

323

Will there be an attempt of a radical cognitive enhancement program with clinical trials on humans by January 1, 2030?

May 17, 11:14 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

36.9%chance

241876

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4120

3063

Will the bureau of labor say computer programmers' (inflation-adjusted) salaries decreased between 2023 and 2030?

Jan 5, 7:27 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

38.24%chance

461473

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1080

817

Will it be substantially more expensive to fly in the USA, in 2028?

Aug 22, 12:47 PMAug 2, 6:59 AM

23.04%chance

261111

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1150

881

Will US CPI inflation (CPI-U, 12-month, June 2026) exceed 4.0%?

Jun 5, 4:22 PMJul 18, 11:59 PM

75%chance

12537

OptionVotes

NO

YES

179

49

Will US unemployment exceed 5% in 2026?

Jun 4, 4:46 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

38.84%chance

9403

OptionVotes

YES

NO

125

80

Will the real US GDP grow more than 5% per year in any year before 2030?

Nov 7, 10:17 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

55.44%chance

8248

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1116

896

Will US CPI inflation (12-month) for June 2026 be 4.5% or higher?

Jun 21, 12:49 PMJul 14, 12:30 PM

21.44%chance

588

OptionVotes

YES

NO

183

61

How many of these jobs will have a 15% or more drop in employment plausibly attributable to AI by 2031?

Feb 12, 3:22 PMJan 1, 3:22 PM

34.44%chance

876

OptionVotes

YES

NO

191

184

Will the Unemployment Rate (UNRATE) data series on FRED be greater than 4.5% on January 1, 2029?

Jun 1, 6:59 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

61.21%chance

455

OptionVotes

NO

YES

134

91

Will the unemployment rate in the Los Angeles metropolitan area be higher in June 2026 than in May 2026?

Apr 10, 12:36 PMAug 15, 12:00 PM

47.13%chance

225

OptionVotes

YES

NO

106

94

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Aug 17, 2025
Aug 17, 2025
Obituary
Movies
Culture
General Zod Actor Terence Stamp Dies at 87
Authors
111
10 months ago

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