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Prediction markets for The Adjustment Bureau
Will the U.S. enter a recession in Trump's second term?
Mar 13, 3:40 PMJan 21, 4:59 AM
54.07%chance
340280777
OptionVotes
5056
5043
Will net demand for graphic designers fall by 50% or more by 2025?
Aug 10, 1:31 AMSep 1, 3:59 AM
5%chance
12828388
OptionVotes
7285
1681
Will unemployment in the US be higher in September 2026 than in either September 2022 or September 2024?
Jan 4, 2:27 PMNov 1, 6:59 AM
90.48%chance
163701
OptionVotes
3083
324
Will there be an attempt of a radical cognitive enhancement program with clinical trials on humans by January 1, 2030?
May 17, 11:14 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
36.9%chance
241876
OptionVotes
4120
3063
Will the bureau of labor say computer programmers' (inflation-adjusted) salaries decreased between 2023 and 2030?
Jan 5, 7:27 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM
38.24%chance
461473
OptionVotes
1080
817
Will it be substantially more expensive to fly in the USA, in 2028?
Aug 22, 12:47 PMAug 2, 6:59 AM
21.27%chance
251086
OptionVotes
1238
856
Will the real US GDP grow more than 5% per year in any year before 2030?
Nov 7, 10:17 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM
53.17%chance
7198
OptionVotes
1066
939
Will there be a significant drop in number of births in Japan during the year of the fire horse?
Dec 30, 4:19 AMFeb 4, 11:59 PM
35.31%chance
9143
OptionVotes
135
74
How many of these jobs will have a 15% or more drop in employment plausibly attributable to AI by 2031?
Feb 12, 3:22 PMJan 1, 3:22 PM
34.44%chance
876
OptionVotes
191
184
Will the Unemployment Rate (UNRATE) data series on FRED be greater than 4.5% on January 1, 2029?
Jun 1, 6:59 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM
61.21%chance
455
OptionVotes
134
91
Will the unemployment rate in the Los Angeles metropolitan area be higher in March 2026 than in February 2026?
Mar 5, 1:03 PMApr 30, 11:59 PM
63.54%chance
232
OptionVotes
132
76
Will the Unemployment Rate (UNRATE) data series on FRED be greater than 4.5% on January 1, 2028?
Jun 1, 6:59 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM
50.99%chance
11
OptionVotes
71
69