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Top stories

Trump Tariff Fears Eclipse China Security Worries in New Australian Poll

Trump Tariff Fears Eclipse China Security Worries in New Australian Poll

Authors

12

3 days ago

Prediction markets for The Australian

Will the party that wins the next Australian federal election have a majority in the Senate?

Mar 16, 8:10 AMSep 27, 2:29 PM

1%chance

103490

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2088

29

When the PRC invades Taiwan will they preemptively attack US, British, Japanese, Kiwi, and/or Australian military/intelligence assets in the region?

Aug 8, 1:08 AMDec 15, 4:59 AM

51.12%chance

542873

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1221

562

Will the Australian Nationals merge with Australian Liberal party on a federal level, before 2026?

Feb 18, 11:53 AMDec 31, 1:59 PM

1%chance

41001

OptionVotes

YES

NO

995

10

Will Anthony Albanese remain the leader of the Australian Labor Party through to the end of October 2025?

Mar 17, 2:21 PMNov 2, 1:29 PM

98%chance

9708

OptionVotes

NO

YES

700

14

Will the Australian Labor Party win a majority of seats in the House of Representatives at the next federal election?

Jul 22, 11:40 AMSep 25, 11:37 AM

64.33%chance

4459

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1343

745

Which Australian politician was groomed by foreign spies according to the head of ASIO?

Feb 29, 3:26 AMDec 31, 12:59 PM

7335

OptionProbability

Stuart Robert

Sam Dastyari

Christopher Pyne

59

25

10

Who will be the next leader of the Australian Labor Party?

Nov 1, 8:23 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

11268

OptionProbability

Jim Chalmers

Other

Tanya Plibersek

Penny Wong

Chris Bowen

Richard Marles

Bill Shorten

43

29

13

6

4

3

3

Will the Australian outback be ‘greened’ / terraformed / geo-engineered before 2100?

Sep 11, 12:17 AMJan 10, 12:59 PM

86.74%chance

4162

OptionVotes

NO

YES

176

31

Will the Australian Labor Party win a majority of seats at the next general election for the House of Representatives?

May 21, 6:31 AMJun 30, 6:29 AM

70%chance

385

OptionVotes

NO

YES

153

65

Will Labor and the Greens hold a majority of seats in the Australian Senate after the next election?

May 25, 2:30 PMJun 30, 1:49 PM

54.05%chance

680

OptionVotes

NO

YES

108

92

Which MPs will be reëlected at the next Australian federal election?

May 21, 5:57 AMJun 30, 5:52 AM

123

OptionProbability

Chris Bowen

Tim Wilson

Monique Ryan

Peter Khalil

66

59

50

50

Did Australian voters perceive the Liberal Party as more right-wing in 2025 than they did in 2022?

May 26, 12:26 PMNov 29, 11:59 PM

45.25%chance

110

OptionVotes

YES

NO

110

91

Latest stories

Latest stories

Aug 18, 2025
Aug 18, 2025
Australia
Tariffs
Economics
Trump Tariff Fears Eclipse China Security Worries in New Australian Poll
Authors
12
3 days ago

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