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Prediction markets for The Frame
OptionVotes
2012
113
[MEGAMARKET] What will be true of @jim's upcoming Rationalussy movie?
Feb 10, 2:12 PMDec 1, 10:59 AM
142109
OptionProbability
61
60
59
59
58
55
50
49
48
44
44
38
36
31
5
4
Will a High Frame Rate film win an Academy Award before 2030?
Jul 15, 9:23 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
39.36%chance
321716
OptionVotes
1191
841
Will React still be the most popular front-end framework in 2030?
Jul 8, 3:12 PMJan 2, 2:59 AM
39.8%chance
171577
OptionVotes
1230
813
Will React still be the most popular front-end framework in 2035?
Jul 7, 7:48 PMJan 2, 2:59 AM
19.1%chance
111575
OptionVotes
2058
486
OptionVotes
1299
353
Will Canada sign the Framework Convention on AI before 2026?
Sep 9, 7:23 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM
60.55%chance
5400
OptionVotes
1239
807
What will the results of this poll be in 2028? Has AI been overregulated?
Sep 26, 8:43 PMOct 4, 6:59 AM
11382
OptionProbability
49
36
9
3
3
False flag incident against the U.S. framing Latin American gang before October 14?
Apr 17, 11:32 PMOct 14, 11:59 PM
14.28%chance
4145
OptionVotes
245
41
Which of the following will happen in the third and final book of the Lord of the Mysteries trilogy? [ADD ANSWERS]
Jan 9, 10:56 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
389
OptionProbability
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
31
Will "“Alignment Faking” frame is somewhat fake" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
Dec 21, 12:11 AMFeb 1, 12:00 AM
18.74%chance
215
OptionVotes
105
74
Will AI figure out who has the highest visual frame compression efficiency to working memory ratio by 2030?
Sep 11, 12:30 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
50%chance
00
OptionVotes
50
50
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