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Prediction markets for The Hundred
Instant deepfakes of anyone (doing anything) by the end of 2027?
Dec 7, 10:12 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
78.67%chance
480696936
OptionVotes
16706
12559
Will Bitcoin ever go below $100.00 (one hundred) USD again?
Mar 8, 11:17 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM
7.62%chance
6641419
OptionVotes
3433
481
OptionVotes
1659
813
Will Huawei ship at least one million 910C chips in 2026?
Dec 12, 3:56 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
41%chance
228785
OptionVotes
11996
8336
Did the IDF bury hundreds of Palestinian civilians in mass graves near Nasser and Al-Shifa hospitals?
Apr 24, 2:46 PMJul 1, 3:59 AM
27.7%chance
705955
OptionVotes
2407
2217
OptionProbability
49
28
13
11
How many people will follow Scott Alexander's example and donate a kidney?
Oct 27, 5:09 AMOct 28, 6:59 AM
314306
OptionProbability
39
29
21
3
3
2
1
1
1
2030 – 3. Over one hundred thousand humanoid robots will be deployed in the real world.
Mar 11, 12:08 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM
82.06%chance
372697
OptionVotes
1928
630
Will AI innovations in computer hacking, financial crime, and fraud cost the world more than one hundred billion dollars by 2030?
Dec 24, 8:48 PMJan 1, 7:58 AM
60.73%chance
18676
OptionVotes
1740
1045
OptionProbability
82
75
69
41
39
Will there be an official Hundreds of Beavers video game released by the end of 2027?
Jun 2, 2:20 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
45.03%chance
7240
OptionVotes
1105
905
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