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Prediction markets for The Last of Us
🧭Which of these things will happen before Ukraine joins NATO? [ADD RESPONSES]
Mar 6, 9:20 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM
578425
OptionProbability
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
99
95
90
87
81
81
74
72
66
65
65
64
62
59
52
51
51
50
45
41
36
31
29
28
27
26
7
6
Will the last presidential election in the USA be in 2024?
Oct 6, 1:10 PMNov 11, 4:59 AM
8.11%chance
406495
OptionVotes
3366
297
Will the next president (of the USA) last the full term?
Jul 5, 2:33 AMSep 12, 1:59 PM
79.32%chance
182922
OptionVotes
1958
511
🐶Which upcoming games will you be able to pet the dog in? [ADD RESPONSES]
Mar 15, 12:40 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
532617
OptionProbability
89
88
87
84
78
72
62
60
59
52
50
50
34
29
27
27
24
21
18
16
15
10
0
0
0
In 2030 will long-lasting side effects in over 30% of the US be linked to the Moderna AND Pfizer COVID vaccinations?
Feb 17, 12:53 PMDec 29, 4:59 AM
2.55%chance
111735
OptionVotes
1503
938
OptionProbability
66
28
3
3
Will the next round of US-Iran peace talks result in a cease-fire lasting at least 30 days?
Aug 3, 6:19 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
35.7%chance
10359
OptionVotes
1342
745
Will "10 non-boring ways I've used AI in the last month" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?
Apr 21, 6:06 AMFeb 1, 12:00 AM
11.53%chance
2255
OptionVotes
1211
969
Will 2026 be the last year of fresh recruiting talent entering the US workforce?
Nov 3, 2:52 PMOct 31, 11:59 PM
12.46%chance
5165
OptionVotes
265
38
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