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Top stories

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Prediction markets for TikTok

Will the U.S. invoke the TikTok bill against Twitter?

Mar 26, 1:37 AMJan 21, 5:59 AM

2.3%chance

446791

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3057

1039

Will a new social media app surpass TikTok in monthly users before 2027?”

Mar 21, 8:08 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

7.51%chance

104498

OptionVotes

YES

NO

351

28

Will the Supreme Court deem unconstitutional the Montana statewide ban on TikTok by 2026 year end?

May 17, 11:00 PMJan 1, 2:59 AM

7.44%chance

202758

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3260

558

Will Chaya Raichik (Libs of TikTok) be found guilty in a US court of law by the end of 2030?

Feb 22, 1:46 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

16.33%chance

392496

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1625

750

If TikTok is removed from the app store, will an iPhone with TikTok installed sell for $10,000+ on eBay within 1yr?

Mar 18, 9:25 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

5.53%chance

232086

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2215

826

Will TikTok get fully banned in the USA if Donald Trump wins the election before the end of 2026?

Feb 7, 2:07 PMDec 31, 9:59 PM

4.15%chance

121118

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1283

101

Will the TikTok Bill be used against other apps/websites before 2029?

Mar 15, 4:33 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

40.34%chance

12984

OptionVotes

YES

NO

300

228

By 2033, will TikTok DJs face competition from at least one AI DJ?

Apr 26, 7:58 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

75.44%chance

16626

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1116

942

Will Trump take credit for reversing TikTok ban?

Dec 6, 6:27 PMJul 1, 4:59 AM

95.1%chance

20583

OptionVotes

NO

YES

440

23

Will Zhang Yiming (founder of TikTok) be charged with a serious crime before 2030?

May 19, 3:10 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

8.94%chance

5132

OptionVotes

YES

NO

222

53

Will a TikTok-native artist exhibit at Documenta 16 (2027)?

Feb 17, 12:00 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

70%chance

377

OptionVotes

NO

YES

153

65

Will a sitting head of state post a video of themselves dancing on TikTok or Instagram Reels by end of 2026?

Apr 17, 9:31 PMJan 1, 12:00 AM

56.62%chance

330

OptionVotes

NO

YES

207

194

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