Tokenized News

Sergey Nazarov on Chainlink’s Cross-Chain Transfers, CCIP, and Cross-Border Settlements with ANZ and Fidelity on Visa’s Tokenized Podcast

9 months ago

Before 2028, will there be enough inference capacity to generate 30T frontier model tokens per day?

Jun 5, 2:24 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

98.95%chance

89570

OptionVotes

YES

9720

103

What range will Polymarket token FDV fall in one week after launch?

Jan 29, 1:58 AMJan 2, 1:00 AM

45573

OptionProbability

Over $8B

$4B-$6B

$2B-$4B

$6B-$8B

Under $2B

N/A

[Situational awareness] Will pre-2028 LLMs achieve token-output control?

Jul 9, 2:27 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

47%chance

101485

OptionVotes

YES

1062

942

Before 2027, will OpenAI release a reasoning model that generates image tokens in its CoT?

Dec 13, 1:55 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

22.51%chance

81152

OptionVotes

YES

1856

539

The context windows of frontier models will stay around one million tokens in 2026

Jan 2, 7:37 AMJan 4, 7:59 AM

81.04%chance

51125

OptionVotes

YES

2067

484

AI starts crypto trading, seize the entirety of value from every chain and token, ultimately driving them to zero? 📉

Apr 1, 11:18 AMApr 1, 3:59 PM

6.17%chance

12628

OptionVotes

YES

1385

915

Will there be a more sample-efficient pretraining algorithm than next token prediction for NLP before 2027?

Jun 3, 2:46 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

43.43%chance

10623

OptionVotes

YES

1141

876

Will the OpenSea token be >1 billion a week after launch?

Jan 22, 7:46 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

53.36%chance

2385

OptionVotes

YES

1070

935

Will "Soulbound Tokens" be widely considered to be a scam by 2030?

Dec 11, 4:30 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

21.93%chance

6152

OptionVotes

YES

158

110

Will "Recent LLMs can use filler tokens or problem ..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?

Dec 23, 7:13 AMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

12.83%chance

2111

OptionVotes

YES

1091

986

Will "Anomalous Tokens in DeepSeek-V3 and r1" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?

Jan 27, 12:47 PMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

40%chance

381

OptionVotes

YES

122

Will "Shorter Tokens Are More Likely" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?

Dec 23, 12:28 PMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

14%chance

122

OptionVotes

YES

1000

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Aug 18, 2025
Aug 18, 2025
Fintech
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Blockchains
Sergey Nazarov on Chainlink’s Cross-Chain Transfers, CCIP, and Cross-Border Settlements with ANZ and Fidelity on Visa’s Tokenized Podcast
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9 months ago

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Before 2028, will there be enough inference capacity to generate 30T frontier model tokens per day?

What range will Polymarket token FDV fall in one week after launch?

[Situational awareness] Will pre-2028 LLMs achieve token-output control?

Before 2027, will OpenAI release a reasoning model that generates image tokens in its CoT?

The context windows of frontier models will stay around one million tokens in 2026

AI starts crypto trading, seize the entirety of value from every chain and token, ultimately driving them to zero? 📉

Will there be a more sample-efficient pretraining algorithm than next token prediction for NLP before 2027?

Will the OpenSea token be >1 billion a week after launch?

Will "Soulbound Tokens" be widely considered to be a scam by 2030?

Will "Recent LLMs can use filler tokens or problem ..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?

Will "Anomalous Tokens in DeepSeek-V3 and r1" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?

Will "Shorter Tokens Are More Likely" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?

Latest stories

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