Tokenized News

3 days ago

Will Polymarket create a Token in the following year?

Jun 12, 3:03 AMJan 3, 4:59 AM

3111302

OptionProbability

2025

2026

2028 or later or never

2027

2024

Before 2028, will there be enough inference capacity to generate 30T frontier model tokens per day?

Jun 5, 2:24 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

98.95%chance

89570

OptionVotes

YES

9720

103

[Situational awareness] Will pre-2026 LLMs achieve token-output control?

Jul 9, 2:24 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

30.42%chance

122884

OptionVotes

YES

1512

661

Before 2028, will any AI model achieve the same or greater benchmarks as o3 high with <= 1 million tokens per question?

Dec 21, 6:17 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

88.14%chance

102611

OptionVotes

YES

2726

367

Will the next major LLM by OpenAI use a new tokenizer?

Jun 17, 7:26 PMDec 31, 6:29 AM

76.8%chance

441273

OptionVotes

YES

1376

876

Will a flagship (>60T training bytes) open-weights LLM from Meta which doesn't use a tokenizer be released in 2025?

Dec 14, 3:57 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

19.6%chance

81224

OptionVotes

YES

2025

494

[Situational awareness] Will pre-2028 LLMs achieve token-output control?

Jul 9, 2:27 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

38.5%chance

71195

OptionVotes

YES

1264

791

What range will Polymarket token FDV fall in one week after launch?

Jan 29, 1:58 AMJan 2, 1:00 AM

2973

OptionProbability

Over $8B

$4B-$6B

$2B-$4B

$6B-$8B

Under $2B

N/A

AI starts crypto trading, seize the entirety of value from every chain and token, ultimately driving them to zero? 📉

Apr 1, 11:18 AMApr 1, 3:59 PM

6.17%chance

12628

OptionVotes

YES

1385

915

Will there be a more sample-efficient pretraining algorithm than next token prediction for NLP before 2027?

Jun 3, 2:46 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

43.43%chance

10623

OptionVotes

YES

1141

876

Will total processed tokens by Open Router LLMs exceed 10 trillion in any single week by the end of 2025

Feb 17, 12:31 AMDec 31, 1:00 AM

47%chance

7471

OptionVotes

YES

1062

942

Will the OpenSea token be >1 billion a week after launch?

Jan 22, 7:46 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

60.98%chance

1250

OptionVotes

YES

1250

800

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Will Polymarket create a Token in the following year?

Before 2028, will there be enough inference capacity to generate 30T frontier model tokens per day?

[Situational awareness] Will pre-2026 LLMs achieve token-output control?

Before 2028, will any AI model achieve the same or greater benchmarks as o3 high with <= 1 million tokens per question?

Will the next major LLM by OpenAI use a new tokenizer?

Will a flagship (>60T training bytes) open-weights LLM from Meta which doesn't use a tokenizer be released in 2025?

[Situational awareness] Will pre-2028 LLMs achieve token-output control?

What range will Polymarket token FDV fall in one week after launch?

AI starts crypto trading, seize the entirety of value from every chain and token, ultimately driving them to zero? 📉

Will there be a more sample-efficient pretraining algorithm than next token prediction for NLP before 2027?

Will total processed tokens by Open Router LLMs exceed 10 trillion in any single week by the end of 2025

Will the OpenSea token be >1 billion a week after launch?

Latest stories

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