Tokenized News
Top stories
Prediction markets for Tokenized
OptionProbability
45
31
12
10
2
Before 2028, will there be enough inference capacity to generate 30T frontier model tokens per day?
Jun 5, 2:24 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
98.95%chance
89570
OptionVotes
9720
103
[Situational awareness] Will pre-2026 LLMs achieve token-output control?
Jul 9, 2:24 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM
30.42%chance
122884
OptionVotes
1512
661
Before 2028, will any AI model achieve the same or greater benchmarks as o3 high with <= 1 million tokens per question?
Dec 21, 6:17 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM
88.14%chance
102611
OptionVotes
2726
367
Will the next major LLM by OpenAI use a new tokenizer?
Jun 17, 7:26 PMDec 31, 6:29 AM
76.8%chance
441273
OptionVotes
1376
876
Will a flagship (>60T training bytes) open-weights LLM from Meta which doesn't use a tokenizer be released in 2025?
Dec 14, 3:57 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM
19.6%chance
81224
OptionVotes
2025
494
[Situational awareness] Will pre-2028 LLMs achieve token-output control?
Jul 9, 2:27 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM
38.5%chance
71195
OptionVotes
1264
791
What range will Polymarket token FDV fall in one week after launch?
Jan 29, 1:58 AMJan 2, 1:00 AM
2973
OptionProbability
34
18
13
13
11
11
AI starts crypto trading, seize the entirety of value from every chain and token, ultimately driving them to zero? 📉
Apr 1, 11:18 AMApr 1, 3:59 PM
6.17%chance
12628
OptionVotes
1385
915
Will there be a more sample-efficient pretraining algorithm than next token prediction for NLP before 2027?
Jun 3, 2:46 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM
43.43%chance
10623
OptionVotes
1141
876
Will total processed tokens by Open Router LLMs exceed 10 trillion in any single week by the end of 2025
Feb 17, 12:31 AMDec 31, 1:00 AM
47%chance
7471
OptionVotes
1062
942
Will the OpenSea token be >1 billion a week after launch?
Jan 22, 7:46 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM
60.98%chance
1250
OptionVotes
1250
800
Latest stories
Latest stories