Top 100 News
Top stories
Prediction markets for Top 100
[ACX 2026] Will an AI-created song chart in the top 20 of the Billboard Hot 100 before 2027?
Jan 6, 10:05 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
36.4%chance
28490246
OptionVotes
5301
4725
When will an active female chess player next rank in the top 100 players according to the FIDE standard top 100 ranking?
Mar 15, 4:18 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
81976
OptionProbability
39
17
0
0
0
0
When will a female chess player next rank in the top 10 players according to the FIDE standard top 100 ranking?
Mar 15, 4:18 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
141692
OptionProbability
45
35
18
14
7
3
1
1
🎞️If the AFI Top 100 Movie list updates again, which films that haven't been on it before will make it? [ADD RESPONSES]
Mar 4, 4:54 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
10620
OptionProbability
74
73
66
66
66
64
59
59
50
50
50
41
41
41
34
27
15
14
11
Will someone place in top 8 of a 100+ player Super Smash Bros tournament with a Neuralink controller by end of 2028?
Sep 11, 2:58 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
16.63%chance
8396
OptionVotes
224
45
Will the majority of top 100 US universities not accept the SAT/ACT for the 2025-2026 academic year?
Aug 5, 6:33 PMApr 1, 6:59 AM
7.31%chance
7364
OptionVotes
405
97
Will "Consider not donating under $100 to political..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
May 18, 6:44 AMFeb 1, 12:00 AM
10.44%chance
4353
OptionVotes
1333
954
Will a Russian-developed LLM reach the top 100 on LMSYS Chatbot Arena by end of 2026?
Oct 29, 1:28 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM
48.77%chance
5234
OptionVotes
1025
976
Will a xenharmonic song enter the Billboard Top 100 or Spotify Top 100 tracks before 2030?
Jul 19, 2:35 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM
44%chance
6216
OptionVotes
1128
886
Putnam Top 100 #3: Will any AI score in the top 100 Putnam scorers by start of 2027?
May 4, 8:33 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM
86.68%chance
6210
OptionVotes
230
34
How many characters will appear in the 2026 Super Smash Bros Melee year-end top 100 player rankings?
Feb 1, 1:15 AMFeb 2, 12:38 AM
187
OptionProbability
69
50
20
10
How many of the top 100 companies will have a Square shaped Logo Icon by EOY 2028? (judged by CompaniesMarketCap)
Dec 9, 2:53 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
431
OptionProbability
25
16
13
12
10
8
8
8