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Top stories

Google Rolls Out ‘Preferred Sources’ to Personalize Search News Results

Google Rolls Out ‘Preferred Sources’ to Personalize Search News Results

Authors

16

1 day ago

Prediction markets for Top Stories

Will "large reasoning models" significantly outperform traditional LLMs in creative writing by 2026?

Jan 11, 7:11 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

40.28%chance

141633

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1218

821

Major news report of ideological filtering of would-be resident in Praxis city project (before 2027)

Sep 15, 7:21 AMJan 1, 7:28 AM

72.55%chance

7789

OptionVotes

NO

YES

118

96

Will "Reliable Sources: The Story of David Gerard" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?

Jul 11, 12:58 AMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

82.34%chance

11705

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1600

56

Will "The Story of "I Have Been A Good Bing"" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?

Apr 1, 11:22 AMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

25.9%chance

24688

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1030

974

A single neural network will win multiple top short story awards (for many stories) before 2026. No editing.

May 19, 4:41 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

23.03%chance

16541

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1194

914

Will Sabo or Dragon fight Akainu? (With or without Luffy)

Mar 4, 11:36 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

17381

OptionProbability

mainly Sabo

mainly Luffy, Sabo helps

mainly Dragon

mainly Luffy, Dragon helps

None of these happen, only Luffy fights him alone

mainly Luffy, both of them help

94

86

65

54

54

50

When will the top chatbot stop mentioning unimportant details from the prompt? (read description)

Jul 20, 10:13 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

3106

OptionProbability

2026

2025

50

41

Major news report linking Praxis city project and (neo) Feudalism (before 2027)

Sep 14, 8:07 PMJan 1, 7:28 AM

81.29%chance

494

OptionVotes

NO

YES

167

57

Will "My supervillain origin story" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?

Jan 30, 9:15 PMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

7.16%chance

190

OptionVotes

YES

NO

190

90

🇬🇧 Will the BBC’s top story be about UK heat-related deaths by end of 2030

Aug 4, 12:48 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

47.64%chance

150

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1048

954

What should I read next? Up to 15,000 mana for a book I end up loving!

Jan 12, 7:37 PM

00

Help Al Quinn find good movies (because nearly everything is terrible) 12K Mana Bounty!

Mar 9, 8:51 PM

00

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Aug 12, 2025
Aug 12, 2025
India
Software
Tech
Google Rolls Out ‘Preferred Sources’ to Personalize Search News Results
Authors
16
1 day ago

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