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Tour de France News

    Prediction markets for Tour de France

    2027 Winner Tour de France Femmes avec Zwift

    Aug 11, 12:11 PMAug 31, 11:59 PM
    814174

    OptionProbability

    Demi Vollering

    Other

    Kasia Niewiadoma-Phinney

    Pauline Ferrand-Prevot

    Elisa Longo Borghini

    Marlen Reusser

    Sarah Gigante

    👑 Anna van der Breggen

    54

    13

    8

    6

    6

    6

    4

    3

    Tour de France 2027 Winner

    Aug 9, 6:39 PMJul 31, 11:59 PM
    1714000

    OptionProbability

    Tadej Pogacar

    Paul Seixas

    Other

    Jonas Vingegaard

    Remco Evenepoel

    68

    10

    9

    7

    7

    Lanterne Rouge Cycling Podcast 2026 Hot Takes Megamarket

    Nov 15, 6:31 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
    2012285

    OptionProbability

    [Uno-X] 4 or more WorldTour victories

    [Uno-X] Do not finish in the top 10 of any Grand Tour GC

    [Red Bull-BORA] Finish on the podium in GC in all three Grand Tours

    [Lidl-Trek] Do not podium any Grand Tour GC

    [Decathlon] 6 or more WorldTour victories

    [Decathlon] Paul Seixas podiums Liege-Bastogne-Liege

    [Decathlon] Paul Seixas wins Il Lombardia

    [Decathlon] Top 6 in the UCI rankings in 2026

    [FDJ-Suez] Demi Vollering scores the most UCI points of any woman in 2026

    [Alpecin] Jasper Philipsen wins Gent-Wevelgem

    [UAE] 40 or more WorldTour victories

    [Lotto-Intermarche] 4 or more WorldTour victories

    [Lotto-Intermarche] 13 or more victories (.1 or higher)

    [Visma] Sepp Kuss finishes better than Jonas Vingegaard at the Tour de France

    [Visma] Wilco Kelderman wins a race

    [Ineos] Egan Bernal and Brandon Rivera sign with Movistar before EOY 2026

    [Lidl-Trek] Mattias Skjelmose leaves the team before the end of 2026

    [Uno-X] Jonas Abrahamsen wins 2 or more Grand Tour stages

    [Uno-X] Johannes Kulset scores 1000 or more UCI points

    [Uno-X] Adne Holter scores 1000 or more UCI points

    [Red Bull-BORA] Laurence Pithie podiums a Monument

    [Red Bull-BORA] Florian Lipowitz places better than Remco Evenepoel at the Tour de France

    [Red Bull-BORA] 15 or more WorldTour victories

    [Lidl-Trek] 23 or more WorldTour victories

    [Lidl-Trek] Juan Ayuso podiums the Vuelta a España GC

    [Lidl-Trek] 3rd in UCI points for the 2026 season

    [Lidl-Trek] Mathias Vacek wins a cobbled classic

    [Lidl-Trek] Mads Pedersen does not win a WorldTour race

    [Decathlon] Paul Seixas podiums the Giro d'Italia

    [Decathlon] Olav Kooij wins 4 or more WorldTour races

    [Decathlon] Win a stage in all three Grand Tours

    [Soudal-Quickstep] 15 or more WorldTour victories

    [Soudal-Quickstep] Gianmarco Garofoli wins a Giro d'Italia stage

    [Soudal-Quickstep] Gianmarco Garofoli wins the King of the Mountains at the Giro d'Italia

    [Soudal-Quickstep] Ilan van Wilder has a better average finishing position than Remco Evenepoel in the Ardennes classics (Amstel, Fleche, LBL)

    [Ineos] Sam Welsford wins 4 times as many races (or more) as Arne Marit

    [Ineos] Joshua Tarling wins more time trials than Remco Evenepoel

    [Alpecin] Win the points classification in two Grand Tours

    [UAE] Tadej Pogacar wins all five Monuments

    [UAE] Antonio Morgado podiums a 1.UWT classic race

    [NSN] Biniam Girmay wins a 1.UWT race

    [NSN] Corbin Strong podiums Liege-Bastogne-Liege

    [Visma] Matthew Brennan wins 3 Vuelta stages + the green jersey

    [Visma] A French rider on Visma wins a WorldTour stage race GC

    [Visma] Bruno Armirail wins a Tour de France stage

    [Visma] Timo Kielich finishes in the top 5 at Paris-Roubaix

    [Visma] Matthew Brennan wins Milan-San Remo

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    7

    6

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    OptionProbability

    2029

    2028

    2031

    2030

    2033 or later

    2027

    2032

    2024

    2025

    2026

    23

    21

    17

    13

    11

    9

    4

    1

    1

    1

    Will Tadej Pogacar win the Tour de France a record-breaking 6 times?

    Feb 22, 4:04 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
    83.54%chance
    194422

    OptionVotes

    NO

    YES

    2253

    444

    Who will be the Next First-Time Tour de France Winner?

    Jul 15, 11:14 AMJan 1, 7:00 PM
    102476

    OptionProbability

    Paul Seixas

    Remco Evenepoel

    Other

    Isaac de Torro

    Florian Lipowitz

    Juan Ayuso

    Cian Uijtdebroeks

    Mathieu van der Poel

    27

    25

    23

    14

    5

    4

    2

    1

    Will Tadej Pogacar win the 2027 Tour de France?

    Jul 27, 12:28 AMJul 31, 11:59 PM
    67.25%chance
    122144

    OptionVotes

    NO

    YES

    1433

    698

    OptionVotes

    YES

    NO

    1723

    580

    OptionProbability

    2028

    2029

    2027

    2030 or later

    2025

    2026

    42

    32

    18

    7

    1

    1

    Will Jonas Vingegaard start the 2027 Tour de France?

    Jul 19, 7:43 PMJul 1, 12:00 PM
    80%chance
    8817

    OptionVotes

    NO

    YES

    1275

    901

    OptionProbability

    One stage of the Giro d'Italia Women

    One stage of the Vuelta Femenina

    One stage of the Tour de France Femmes

    Liege - Bastogne - Liege

    Fleche Wallonne (Mur de Huy)

    GC Giro d'Italia Women

    GC Vuelta Femenina

    Amstel Gold Race

    GC Tour de France Femmes

    Paris - Roubaix

    100

    100

    52

    24

    22

    20

    20

    15

    10

    3

    OptionProbability

    (2027/07/02) In the Tour de France, will Tadej Pogačar outfinish Paul Sexias?

    (2027/09/04) In the La Vuelta, will Tadej Pogačar outfinish Paul Sexias?

    (2027/05/08) In the Giro d'Italia, will Tadej Pogačar outfinish Paul Sexias?

    (2027/01/19) In the Tour Down Under, will Tadej Pogačar outfinish Jay Vine?

    (2027/01/19) In the Tour Down Under, will Mauro Schmid outfinish Jay Vine?

    72

    66

    50

    48

    48

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