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Prediction markets for Tour de France
OptionProbability
71
12
10
3
2
2
1
How many of the listed riders will start the 2026 Tour de France Femmes?
Aug 4, 8:20 PMAug 1, 11:59 PM
614257
OptionProbability
96
88
82
69
54
32
15
Will any rider in the 2026 Tour de France use an airbag safety system during the race?
Jan 20, 11:04 PMJul 26, 11:59 PM
5.54%chance
123829
OptionVotes
4127
242
What will be the first year Tadej Pogacar does NOT start the Tour de France?
Nov 17, 10:04 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM
133561
OptionProbability
30
29
13
10
5
5
4
3
1
1
Will Tadej Pogacar win the Tour de France a record-breaking 6 times?
Feb 22, 4:04 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
65.01%chance
143114
OptionVotes
1363
734
OptionVotes
1618
622
OptionProbability
47
25
6
6
6
3
3
2
2
Will Israel–Premier Tech race at the 2026 Tour de France?
Sep 15, 3:14 AMJul 31, 11:59 PM
3.5%chance
2670
OptionVotes
525
19
Will any rider in the 2027 Tour de France use an airbag safety system during the race?
Jan 20, 11:48 PMJul 31, 11:59 PM
45%chance
14654
OptionVotes
1106
905
Will the 2026 Tour de France Grand Depart be moved out of Spain?
Sep 15, 3:38 AMJul 1, 11:59 PM
6.81%chance
4270
OptionVotes
370
27
Will a stage at the 2026 Tour de France, excluding the grand Depart, be cut short due to pro-Palestine protests?
Sep 15, 3:25 AMJul 31, 11:59 PM
25.95%chance
395
OptionVotes
169
59
Will a stage at the 2026 Tour de France be cut short due to pro-Palestine protests?
Sep 15, 3:20 AMJul 31, 11:59 PM
43.05%chance
555
OptionVotes
115
87
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