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Prediction markets for Tour de France
How many of the listed riders will start the 2026 Tour de France Femmes?
Aug 4, 8:20 PMAug 1, 11:59 PM
614257
OptionProbability
96
88
82
69
54
32
15
OptionProbability
70
17
7
3
3
1
Will any rider in the 2026 Tour de France use an airbag safety system during the race?
Jan 20, 11:04 PMJul 26, 11:59 PM
5.12%chance
113819
OptionVotes
4305
232
What will be the first year Tadej Pogacar does NOT start the Tour de France?
Nov 17, 10:04 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM
123184
OptionProbability
29
28
13
11
6
5
4
3
1
1
Will Tadej Pogacar win the Tour de France a record-breaking 6 times?
Feb 22, 4:04 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
65.01%chance
143114
OptionVotes
1363
734
OptionVotes
1532
657
OptionProbability
31
28
10
10
5
5
5
4
3
What is the first year in which a rider other than Tadej Pogacar or Jonas Vingegaard wins the Tour de France?
Oct 31, 4:33 PMAug 1, 3:59 AM
11784
OptionProbability
28
28
23
11
9
1
Will Israel–Premier Tech race at the 2026 Tour de France?
Sep 15, 3:14 AMJul 31, 11:59 PM
3.5%chance
2670
OptionVotes
525
19
Will any rider in the 2027 Tour de France use an airbag safety system during the race?
Jan 20, 11:48 PMJul 31, 11:59 PM
43.8%chance
12570
OptionVotes
1133
883
Will a stage at the 2026 Tour de France, excluding the grand Depart, be cut short due to pro-Palestine protests?
Sep 15, 3:25 AMJul 31, 11:59 PM
25.95%chance
395
OptionVotes
169
59
Will a stage at the 2026 Tour de France be cut short due to pro-Palestine protests?
Sep 15, 3:20 AMJul 31, 11:59 PM
43.05%chance
555
OptionVotes
115
87
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