Trust Act News

ICE Makes 1,600 Long Island Arrests, Widens Crackdown in Connecticut

10 months ago

Will GiveWell fund Community health promoters (eg those run by Living Goods) by 1st January 2027?

Dec 17, 7:05 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

21.51%chance

195543

OptionVotes

YES

10062

2804

Pourrait il avoir un attentat au USA pendant la coupe du monde 2026?

Jun 19, 1:47 PMJul 19, 11:59 PM

20.79%chance

81356

OptionVotes

YES

1952

512

Will AI regulations that include mechanisms for uncovering AI deception be adopted in the U.S. before 2035?

Nov 1, 1:12 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

82.41%chance

191003

OptionVotes

YES

1001

979

Will another country support Venezuela militarily?

Jan 5, 4:33 PMDec 31, 4:30 PM

23.22%chance

12866

OptionVotes

YES

182

Will the "Local Taxpayer Protection Act to Save Proposition 13" pass

Apr 25, 3:46 AMNov 4, 11:59 PM

19.06%chance

3526

OptionVotes

YES

1521

836

Will Ketanji Brown Jackson rule in favor of Virginia's redistricting

May 9, 1:20 AMJan 1, 2:19 AM

79.63%chance

5465

OptionVotes

YES

1435

857

Will Bernie's 50% AI tax pass?

Jun 3, 5:32 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

3.7%chance

4426

OptionVotes

YES

510

Will members of Congress be banned from trading stocks before 2027?

Jun 7, 10:18 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

10.41%chance

9177

OptionVotes

YES

220

Will d4vd get the death penalty?

Apr 24, 1:18 PMApr 24, 1:18 PM

25.6%chance

7122

OptionVotes

YES

170

When will Waymo or an equivalent be generally available in chicago.

Jun 20, 2:18 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

4106

OptionProbability

Before 2030

Before 2028

Before 2029

Before 2027

2030 or later

Discovered tracing mecanisems on gpt in june

Jun 16, 6:34 AMJun 30, 11:59 PM

30.63%chance

550

OptionVotes

YES

150

Is Jose Luis Ricon FUNNIER than JOSCHA BACH, jose luis ricon, razib khan, @repligate/janus , alexey guzey, qiaochu yuan?

May 2, 4:30 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

40.19%chance

122

OptionVotes

YES

122

Latest stories

Aug 20, 2025
Aug 20, 2025
US Domestic Policy
New York
Politics
ICE Makes 1,600 Long Island Arrests, Widens Crackdown in Connecticut
Authors
16
10 months ago

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Will GiveWell fund Community health promoters (eg those run by Living Goods) by 1st January 2027?

Pourrait il avoir un attentat au USA pendant la coupe du monde 2026?

Will AI regulations that include mechanisms for uncovering AI deception be adopted in the U.S. before 2035?

Will another country support Venezuela militarily?

Will the "Local Taxpayer Protection Act to Save Proposition 13" pass

Will Ketanji Brown Jackson rule in favor of Virginia's redistricting

Will Bernie's 50% AI tax pass?

Will members of Congress be banned from trading stocks before 2027?

Will d4vd get the death penalty?

When will Waymo or an equivalent be generally available in chicago.

Discovered tracing mecanisems on gpt in june

Is Jose Luis Ricon FUNNIER than JOSCHA BACH, jose luis ricon, razib khan, @repligate/janus , alexey guzey, qiaochu yuan?

Latest stories

Join our channels

WhatsApp

Telegram