Trust Act News
Top stories
Prediction markets for Trust Act
Will GiveWell fund Community health promoters (eg those run by Living Goods) by 1st January 2027?
Dec 17, 7:05 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
21.51%chance
195543
OptionVotes
10062
2804
Will AI regulations that include mechanisms for uncovering AI deception be adopted in the U.S. before 2035?
Nov 1, 1:12 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM
82.41%chance
191003
OptionVotes
1001
979
OptionVotes
234
43
Will the "Local Taxpayer Protection Act to Save Proposition 13" pass
Apr 25, 3:46 AMNov 4, 11:59 PM
19.43%chance
2501
OptionVotes
1496
841
OptionProbability
52
52
46
46
35
20
4
Will polling show that a majority of American adults believe Oswald "acted alone" before 2030?
Jul 3, 11:12 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
13172
OptionProbability
64
25
10
OptionVotes
170
59
Will any more blockade be set up in international waters before June, 2026?
Apr 15, 3:07 AMMay 31, 11:59 PM
40.66%chance
551
OptionVotes
121
83
Is Jose Luis Ricon FUNNIER than JOSCHA BACH, jose luis ricon, razib khan, @repligate/janus , alexey guzey, qiaochu yuan?
May 2, 4:30 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
40.19%chance
122
OptionVotes
122
82
Latest stories
Latest stories