Ukrainian conflict News

China Signals Willingness to Send Peacekeepers to Ukraine Under UN Mandate, Denies Plans After Die Welt Report and Zelensky Rejection

6 months ago

Who will control Kharkiv on December 31, 2030?

May 12, 9:18 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

1038429

OptionProbability

Ukraine

Russia

Kharkiv uninhabitable (because of nuclear strike for example) on Dec 31, 2030

Will the front line in Ukraine change significantly before the war ends?

Sep 15, 5:42 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

60.2%chance

836669

OptionVotes

YES

1151

677

When will the first 1000+ drone/missile strike hit Ukraine?

Jul 1, 10:07 AMAug 1, 10:01 AM

34659

OptionProbability

February 2026

March 2026

April 2026

May 2026

June 2026

July 2026

January 2026

August 2025

September 2025

October 2025

November 2025

December 2025

Will there be a new(ly) major war involving a nuclear power before the end of 2026?

Aug 6, 4:23 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

14.53%chance

142906

OptionVotes

YES

2426

412

Who will the Wikipedia article for the Russo-Ukrainian conflict say was the victor one year after ceasefire/peace?

Oct 13, 12:30 AMJan 2, 1:29 AM

82218

OptionProbability

Neither

Russia

Ukraine

Will there be fighting in St. Petersburg, Russia’s major northern city, during 2026?

Jan 1, 2:17 AMJan 1, 8:59 PM

13.33%chance

82124

OptionVotes

YES

2550

392

[ACX 2026] Will there be a bilateral ceasefire in the Russo-Ukrainian conflict before 2027?

Jan 6, 10:12 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

36.48%chance

131203

OptionVotes

YES

6073

4454

The End of the Russia–Ukraine War in 2026

Jan 30, 11:22 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

7279

OptionProbability

Before Jan 2027

Before Oct 2026

Before Dec 2026

Before Jun 2026

Before Aug 2026

Before Apr 2026

Before Feb 2026

WW3 begins in 2026

Jan 6, 7:33 PMJun 6, 9:59 PM

7.17%chance

5136

OptionVotes

YES

100

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Aug 23, 2025
Aug 23, 2025
China
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China Signals Willingness to Send Peacekeepers to Ukraine Under UN Mandate, Denies Plans After Die Welt Report and Zelensky Rejection
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6 months ago

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Ukrainian conflict News

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Prediction markets for Ukrainian conflict

Prediction markets for Ukrainian conflict

Prediction markets for Ukrainian conflict

Who will control Kharkiv on December 31, 2030?

Will the front line in Ukraine change significantly before the war ends?

When will the first 1000+ drone/missile strike hit Ukraine?

Will there be a new(ly) major war involving a nuclear power before the end of 2026?

Who will the Wikipedia article for the Russo-Ukrainian conflict say was the victor one year after ceasefire/peace?

Will there be fighting in St. Petersburg, Russia’s major northern city, during 2026?

[ACX 2026] Will there be a bilateral ceasefire in the Russo-Ukrainian conflict before 2027?

The End of the Russia–Ukraine War in 2026

WW3 begins in 2026

Latest stories

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