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Prediction markets for Ukrainian conflict
OptionProbability
70
39
2
OptionVotes
995
10
Will the front line in Ukraine change significantly before the war ends?
Sep 15, 5:42 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
60.2%chance
836669
OptionVotes
1151
677
OptionVotes
4124
242
Will there be a new(ly) major war involving a nuclear power before the end of 2025?
Aug 12, 9:34 PMJan 2, 6:59 AM
8.91%chance
163952
OptionVotes
3198
313
Iran officially accused by NATO of attacking a member state before 2026?
Jun 22, 2:02 PMDec 30, 11:59 PM
8.83%chance
112821
OptionVotes
3214
311
Who will the Wikipedia article for the Russo-Ukrainian conflict say was the victor one year after ceasefire/peace?
Oct 13, 12:30 AMJan 2, 1:29 AM
82218
OptionProbability
69
18
13
OptionProbability
93
11
Will there be a new(ly) major war involving a nuclear power before the end of 2026?
Aug 6, 4:23 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM
19.96%chance
81706
OptionVotes
2003
499
OptionProbability
21
8
8
8
8
8
8
8
8
8
2
2
Will Climate Manipulating Weapons be Used in the Russian / Ukraine Conflict?
May 7, 5:35 AMJan 1, 12:59 PM
14.39%chance
17855
OptionVotes
1360
906
Will there be fighting in St. Petersburg, Russia’s major northern city, during 2025?
Apr 15, 9:21 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
2.6%chance
8548
OptionVotes
612
16