Ukrainian conflict News

China Signals Willingness to Send Peacekeepers to Ukraine Under UN Mandate, Denies Plans After Die Welt Report and Zelensky Rejection

9 months ago

Who will control Kharkiv on December 31, 2030?

May 12, 9:18 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

1038429

OptionProbability

Ukraine

Russia

Kharkiv uninhabitable (because of nuclear strike for example) on Dec 31, 2030

Ww3 with nuclear

Mar 7, 12:30 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

3.05%chance

186910

OptionVotes

YES

564

Will the front line in Ukraine change significantly before the war ends?

Sep 15, 5:42 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

60.2%chance

836669

OptionVotes

YES

1151

677

Will there be a new(ly) major war involving a nuclear power before the end of 2026?

Aug 6, 4:23 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

22.94%chance

234666

OptionVotes

YES

1834

546

[ACX 2026] Will there be a bilateral ceasefire in the Russo-Ukrainian conflict before 2027?

Jan 6, 10:12 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

22.24%chance

194422

OptionVotes

YES

8978

3279

Who will the Wikipedia article for the Russo-Ukrainian conflict say was the victor one year after ceasefire/peace?

Oct 13, 12:30 AMJan 2, 1:29 AM

82218

OptionProbability

Neither

Russia

Ukraine

Will there be fighting in St. Petersburg, Russia’s major northern city, during 2026?

Jan 1, 2:17 AMJan 1, 8:59 PM

13.33%chance

82124

OptionVotes

YES

2550

392

Will WW3 start before gta6?

Feb 28, 7:36 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

10%chance

232104

OptionVotes

YES

300

Will the Ukraine-Russia ceasefire (starting May 6) hold for at least 7 days?

May 5, 11:13 AMMay 13, 11:59 PM

3.29%chance

181416

OptionVotes

YES

597

The End of the Russia–Ukraine War in 2026

Jan 30, 11:22 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

13612

OptionProbability

Before Jan 2027

Before Dec 2026

Before Oct 2026

Before Aug 2026

Before Jun 2026

Before Apr 2026

Before Feb 2026

Will Ukraine and Russia agree to a formal ceasefire by June 30, 2026?

Apr 2, 4:57 PMJun 30, 12:00 AM

4.4%chance

14551

OptionVotes

YES

179

WW3 begins in 2026

Jan 6, 7:33 PMJun 6, 9:59 PM

8.47%chance

10534

OptionVotes

YES

101

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Aug 23, 2025
Aug 23, 2025
China
Ukraine
War
China Signals Willingness to Send Peacekeepers to Ukraine Under UN Mandate, Denies Plans After Die Welt Report and Zelensky Rejection
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9 months ago

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Ukrainian conflict News

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Prediction markets for Ukrainian conflict

Prediction markets for Ukrainian conflict

Prediction markets for Ukrainian conflict

Who will control Kharkiv on December 31, 2030?

Ww3 with nuclear

Will the front line in Ukraine change significantly before the war ends?

Will there be a new(ly) major war involving a nuclear power before the end of 2026?

[ACX 2026] Will there be a bilateral ceasefire in the Russo-Ukrainian conflict before 2027?

Who will the Wikipedia article for the Russo-Ukrainian conflict say was the victor one year after ceasefire/peace?

Will there be fighting in St. Petersburg, Russia’s major northern city, during 2026?

Will WW3 start before gta6?

Will the Ukraine-Russia ceasefire (starting May 6) hold for at least 7 days?

The End of the Russia–Ukraine War in 2026

Will Ukraine and Russia agree to a formal ceasefire by June 30, 2026?

WW3 begins in 2026

Latest stories

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