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Prediction markets for Universes Beyond
Will AI be life-changing for muggles by the end of 2029?
Oct 10, 8:46 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
66.01%chance
10726001
OptionVotes
1394
718
What news stories of the 2020s will be included in respected history textbooks published in the 2050s?
May 23, 7:10 AMDec 30, 7:59 AM
8215250
OptionProbability
97
94
88
86
82
82
77
75
63
61
61
57
54
51
40
21
13
Trump's "reciprocal tariffs" found unlawful by courts and effectively ceased by EOY 2025?
Apr 6, 7:35 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
33.01%chance
365853
OptionVotes
1425
702
Trump's "reciprocal tariffs" found unlawful by courts and effectively ceased by EOY 2026?
Apr 21, 7:26 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
39.48%chance
132835
OptionVotes
1238
808
OptionProbability
79
73
67
65
65
59
50
50
45
45
35
Will Kirti Joshi's reformulation of Mochizuki's Inter-universal Teichmüller Theory be succesful by December 2025
Dec 16, 3:50 PMDec 1, 10:59 PM
6.76%chance
11660
OptionVotes
558
97
When will we be able to reversibly preserve isolated primate brains at least 50 yrs with function and memories intact?
Jan 9, 8:36 PMJun 2, 6:59 AM
3297
OptionProbability
34
11
10
10
10
10
9
5
Is human civilization compatible with computers in the long term?
Mar 1, 10:25 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
52.81%chance
12263
OptionVotes
1017
978
OptionProbability
61
44
32