OptionProbability
Imane Khelif is intersex
The Jews control at least one nation's government
The P320 pistol has a design flaw allowing it to fire without pulling the trigger
Orgies by the wealthy elite as portrayed in 'Eyes Wide Shut'.
DHMO in the water supply
Osama bin Laden didn't act alone
Santa is rigged
That motherfucker WAS real (Tiffany Gomas was wrong the whole time)
Orgies by the fucked-up poors as portrayed in "Eyes Wide Shut XXX" (2013)
The 1% promoted culture wars to distract from class war
√-1 isn't real
Atrazine works as an endocrine-disrupting chemical (EDC), converting testosterone to estrogen in the bodies of frogs leading to homosexual proclivities.
Smartphones listen in on private conversations
US security services use the Google Play Store as an attack vector for android devices
Ticketmaster is in cahoots with organized scalpers
Smart devices are almost always listening to your private conversations
Lionel Messi never played for a Real football (soccer) team
Groundhog Day is rigged
That stock trading AI supposedly built by @SteveSokolowski is actually part of an elaborate scam
The NBA rigs the draft lottery
Joe/Hunter Biden took bribe to protect Burisma from investigation
John McAfee didn't kill himself
The UK security services are complicit in the coverup of a significant underage sex scandal closely linked to the monarchy, taking place in the UK in the period 1975-2015
Dead Internet theory
Some answers in this market are psyops to discredit all the others
At least one UN recognised country is secretly controlled by a cabal following a religion shared by <5% of the country's population
The CCP is directly supporting drug cartel activity in the West
Annie Altman's abuse claims
Dream faked the Manhunt videos
The New Zealand government had advance knowledge of the sinking of the Rainbow Warrior
An adversary is intentionally causing hysteria over drone incidents to force the US/UK's hand into revealing their anti-drone tech
@strutheo is @notrickspringfield
Human didnt evolve from apes
Eating your veggies is bad for your health
There are devices which have been used to alter the electric network frequency of a country in the Middle East to leave more identifiable traces in recorded video and audio clips
At least 3 of the members elected to the French lower house of Parliament in 2024 are Russian agents
Bielefeld does not exist, but another city with the same name in the same place does
This one makes me feel evil, so I ROT13'd it, use ROT13 to decode if you want to keep me company in Hell: Ybh Truevt'f ergverzrag jnf npghnyyl na ZYO-znaqngrq fhfcrafvba
The CCP has a plan to exterminate a large number of people they consider to not be ethnically Chinese
The US/UK/French security services are sinking Russian ships in response to attacks on undersea cables and other hybrid warfare activities (since 2022)
Deepwater Horizon explosion due to sabotage
The Obamas have a loveless marriage, kept together for optics only
Rory Stewart worked for MI6
The CIA killed JFK
Gamergate was right
The US, UK and French security services have collectively assassinated at least 10 German citizens in Germany since 2022
Trump committed sex offenses against minors on Epstein Island
Tiffany Gomas is not the same person as the TMINR lady in the video. She is a PSYOP for Barstool.
FDR deliberately left Pearl Harbor vulnerable, in order to goad Americans into war
As of June 2025, JD Vance is secretly making plans to use future ASI to sieze power and become eternal world dictator
Shakespeare didn’t write his own plays
My dog went to live on farm that was full of other dogs that he could run with and play with and he was much happier than staying with us and peeing on the rug.
Members of US government had prior knowledge of 9/11 and let it happen
Germany has a well-prepared plan (in 2024-) to start mass producing nuclear weapons in <6 months (in case things go bad geopolitically)
Youssoufa Moukoko (soccer player) was born earlier than he claims (earlier than 2004)
China made covid 19 in a lab
A pharma company has a much better treatment for cancer that they are keeping secret because it would compete with their existing products
Michael Jordan's first NBA retirement was actually a forced suspension.
Hellenistic science advanced meta-thermodynamics to derive 𝑄 = 𝑛𝐶Δ𝑇(1 + 𝐻⊙⋆) using the Holtzman Generator
Bitcoin was created by a US three letter agency
lɐǝɹ ʇ,usᴉ ɐᴉlɐɹʇsn∀
The U.S. military is the number one customer of Glitterex (a glitter company) but doesn't want anyone to know because it hurts their masculine image.
Eliezer wrote The Erogamer
Many vaccines on the standard CDC childhood immunization schedule have serious negative side effects (net negative on health) for at least 5% of the population.
Hellenistic scientists could derive the correct refraction law by minimizing light travel time
Dominic Cummings was/is a Russian spy
Elon Musk used Starlink to rig the 2024 election
Circa 1920 civilizational collapse (c.f. "Whither Tartaria?")
Marilyn Manson had a rib removed in the late 1990s
Charles Manson had a rib removed in the late 1990s
Non-human intelligence affecting events on Earth is not extraterrestrial "aliens," and humans are incorrect in believing that reality consists only of the Universe.
Hellenistic science developed statistical mechanics to the point of being able to derive PV=nRT
The Hellenistic civilization was aware of the existence of Azeroth
The Hawk Tuah meme is a North Korean psyop
Sue Gray was a spy
Harold Holt murdered
Finno-Korean Hyperwar was real
The American govt is actually a totalitarian dictatorship
Jeffrey Epstein didn't kill himself
Ogopogo and the Yeti faked their relationship (to boost CFL ratings, to increase Taylor Swift's movie sales, support Trudeau's reelection, b/c Ogopogo is PSY, etc.)
Aluminum cookware actually *does* cause Alzheimers.
The Romance languages are not descended from Classical Latin
The 1% promoted class war to distract from culture wars
The hellenistic civilization was aware of the existence of the American continent
The pharma industry has a better version of Viagra that they keep secret to keep their profits up
"Geoterrorism" (weather modification for terrorism) is real as of 2024
Princess Diana was assassinated
US security services asked Microsoft to buy Skype and alter the software so they could target users more easily
Biden and/or US govt did Jan 6 (exclude trump)
A cure for cancer has already been found
The Clintons assasinated their rivals
The NBA rigged Shaq's free throws
Jet fuel *can* melt steel beams, but the official 9/11 narrative is sus because chemtrail chemicals cannot
The NFL is rigged
Hellenistic science knew of quantum mechanics
South Korea has had nuclear weapons since 2023
Xi Jinping had advance knowledge of the Hawk Tuah meme
Walt Disney was cryogenically frozen, and they made the movie Frozen so that when people googled 'Walt Disney Frozen' the movie would come up first
Lee Harvey Oswald didn't act alone.
Mossad uses Hellenistic technology borrowed from the North Sentinelese
Hellenistic scientists could derive the correct warp-induced refraction law by exceeding Warp Factor 9 under Cochrane’s Theorem
Covid was a deliberate test of pandemic preparedness in view of bacteriological war between China and the US
Ogopogo is real
A support network of close friendships is bad for your health
Israel killed JFK
Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce faked their relationship (to boost NFL ratings, to increase Tay's movie sales, legitimize mRNA vaccines, b/c she is a PSYOP, etc.)
Shakespeare is not real - they claim he was married to Anne Hathaway but she's like only 40 or so
Exercise is bad for your health
Skin cancer is caused by a lack of melanin, regardless of sunlight exposure
covid-19 vaccine is net negative for health for people who are under 35, with no aggravating condition, and not obese
Bitcoin was created by a 3 letter Hellenistic agency
COVID-19 vaccine is net negative for health
Allen Iverson invented A.I.
The government iodizes the water and fluoridates salt when it should be the other way around
QR codes are satanic
Mossad releases video and audio clips, intended to be of interest to their adversaries, which play special sounds that humans don't notice
China purposely spread covid 19 having intended it to escape the lab
QAnon
Getting 8 hours of sleep is bad for your health
Tom Brady's retirement was actually an NFL mandated suspension
Hitler killed himself because the alternative was going to Argentina
Jerry Sandusky is innocent.
Lee Harvey Oswald was an agent of the Hellenistic Civilization
South Sudan has had nukes since 2023
Famous Israeli agent Eisseberg was behind the sinking of the Titanic
xkcd 690: on 9/11, one of the towers was hit by a plane and the other was a controlled demolition
Airplane trails have toxic chemicals (chemtrails)
@HenriThunberg was paid to create the James Bond market to promote the upcoming movie
Marilyn Monroe had a rib removed in the late 1990s
Rationalussy isn't real.
Skin cancer is caused by sunblock, not sunlight
Chinese people really *are* just saying the n-word.
Tupac is still alive in 2024
Bielefeld does not exist
The Hellenistic Civilization made COVID-19 in a lab
The North Sentinelese have a non-secret aircraft carrier, they have announced it to the world loud and clear. Problem is: nobody speaks their language.
US government is harboring aliens
Bush did 9/11
Monica Lewinsky was a Mossad agent
Effective Altruism is a scam and they just embezzle all the donations
The Mandella Effect in general is real
The North Sentinelese have a secret aircraft carrier
Hurricane Katrina caused by HAARP
The 2020 US presidential election was rigged/stolen
The CIA killed Tupac, and JFK is still alive as of 2024
carbon dioxide isn't the main cause of global warming
China was not genociding Uyghurs
You personally live in Truman Show style captivity
The Romance languages are not descended from Latin
The illuminati runs the world
*All* health care is net negative for health
Birds aren't real
climate change isn't human caused
Michelle Obama is a man
Jeffrey Epstein is still alive
Tiger Woods is a militant separatist Tamil
Brazilian money is not real
The Hellenistic civilization invented USB
The North Sentinelese are remnants of the Hellenistic civilization
Yeti is real or similar creature
The earth is a dodecahedron
Climate change isn’t real
Skibidi Toilet is real
Q is Putin
It used to be spelled Berenstein Bears
Africa isn't real
Christiano Ronaldo never played for a Real football (soccer) team
There is no female orgasm
The North Sentinelese are concealing super-advanced technology.
The earth is flat
Hitler didn't kill himself he went to Argentina
*All* vaccines are net negative for health
The moon landing was fake
End of the world in 2012
Earth is hollow
Justin Trudeau is actually Black and has been wearing "whiteface" all along.
Finland isn't real
Australia isn't real.
5G will kill all vaccinated people once the towers are switched on
Nuclear weapons have never existed
Flossing is bad for your health
Brushing your teeth is bad for your health
HIV doesn’t cause AIDS
Taylor Swift and Mary Berg are the same person
The Epcot sphere was built by aliens as some sort of energy device powering the rat empire.
Nauru has had a working fusion reactor since 2001
95
91
84
83
80
76
75
74
73
72
71
70
70
69
69
58
52
50
50
45
45
44
43
42
41
41
40
37
34
33
32
31
31
31
31
29
28
28
28
28
28
28
27
26
26
26
26
25
25
24
23
23
23
23
23
22
22
21
21
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
19
19
18
18
18
18
18
18
18
17
16
16
16
16
16
15
15
14
14
14
13
13
13
13
13
13
13
13
13
12
12
12
12
12
11
11
11
10
10
10
10
10
10
9
9
9
9
9
8
8
8
8
8
8
8
8
8
7
7
7
7
7
7
7
6
6
6
6
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
4
4
4
4
4
4
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
OptionProbability
It won't be available for purchase in 2024
Tracks sleep
It won’t have a USB-C port
will support wireless charging
Improved health tracking if you pair it with an apple watch (ie better data if you wear both than either by itself)
It will only be usable with an iPhone
It will be available in a range of colours
It’ll measure blood oxygen saturation / include a pulse oximetry function.
Will support gestures
At launch, the MSRP will be <$500.
The ring design will be asymmetrical.
Tracks Stress
It will eventually be tied up in litigation like the pulse-ox sensor on the watch
battery lasts over a week
There will be a gold version (real gold, not just gold colored)
It will have a physical button on it
It will have a glass or crystal screen
It will be announced in 2025
Waterproof up to 100 meters / 330 feet
It will be called the iRing
There will be a higher memory model sold for more money at launch (think 128MB vs. 256MB models)
It will have a camera
It will be available for purchase in 2024
It will be announced in 2024
100
97
94
94
85
83
78
76
74
68
59
53
48
46
38
31
21
14
13
8
8
5
0
0
OptionProbability
Will Have LEDs / lights
Will contain a circuit board
Will have readable word(s) on it
Will cost $40 or more
Will Have a physical toggle or switch (for power , settings, etc)
Will Cost $69 or more
Will cost $100 or more
Will have at least two buttons (of any type)
Will be announced by end of 2024
Weigh 200g or more
Will have a gyroscope or similar function via an accelerometer
Will Have a USB-A port
Could be snapped in half by human hands by an average person
Will use aluminum as a component
Weigh 50g or more
Will have a USB-C port
Weigh 500g or more
Overall color will be black
Will have a vibration / rumble motor
Will be announced before Jimmy Carter passes away
Releases for sale before Halloween 2024
Releases for sale before Thanksgiving 2024
Releases for sale before boxing day 2024
longer than 9 inches in any direction
Will cost $53 or more
Will cost $111 or more
Will come with a carrying case
Will fit in your pocket
Will announce a partnership with another company at the same time
Will have a battery
Will cost $140 or more
Will have an AUX output
Will make noise
Will have a screen
Will cost $200 or more
Will Weigh 2 lbs or more
Will be longer than 12 inches in any dimension
Will use bluetooth or wifi
Will be smash-specific
Will be a smart ring
99
99
99
96
95
92
91
89
85
82
77
69
69
67
64
59
58
54
52
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
48
47
42
29
25
21
19
18
13
12
10
6
4
OptionVotes
NO
YES
981
925
OptionVotes
YES
NO
1877
1353
OptionProbability
2040
2030
2031
2032
2033
2034
2035
2036
2037
2038
2039
Other
2029
2026
2027
2028
2025
19
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
5
4
4
4
2
OptionProbability
>= 6.85" display
>= 8x optical zoom
a Thunderbolt 4 or USB4 port
>= 3 high-performance cores
>= 130% mAh battery of next-tier iPhone
greater optical zoom than next-tier iPhone
more high-performance cores than next-tier iPhone
Special LLM capabilities (e.g. extra cache for LLM weights near a Neural Engine)
2 TB storage option
>= 1.5x RAM of next-tier iPhone
>= 12 GB RAM
>= 1.5x transistors of next-tier iPhone
>= 2 USB-C ports
officially supports a desktop-like experience when used with external displays (~same web app experience as MacOS Safari)
a Thunderbolt 3 port
a Quantum Random Number Generator (QRNG) chip
special LLM capabilities beyond next-tier iPhone. Just 2x inference volume wouldn't count.
split-screen multi-tasking
more external buttons than next-tier iPhone
Touch ID
officially supports dual-booting MacOS
89
80
76
72
66
66
66
66
66
59
51
50
44
41
41
41
41
41
38
19
17
OptionProbability
Other
2031
2025
2027
2028
2026
2029
2030
41
20
16
5
5
4
4
4
OptionVotes
NO
YES
1010
994
OptionProbability
Other
2031
2030
2029
2026
2027
2028
2025
34
21
16
14
4
4
4
3
OptionProbability
Other
January 1, 2024 - March 31, 2024
April 1, 2024 - June 31, 2024
October 10, 2023 - December 31, 2023
52
18
18
11
OptionProbability
USB Power Delivery Rev. 3.1 (V. 1.2x2)
N/A
USB Power Delivery Rev. 3.1 (V. 1.2.1)
USB Power Delivery Rev. 3.2 (V. 2.1)
USB Power Delivery Rev. 4.0
Other
18
16
16
16
16
16