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Prediction markets for Victory Day
OptionVotes
146
69
If Talarico or Crockett wins the 2026 US Senate election in Texas, will governor Abbott refuse to certify that they won?
Jan 29, 6:18 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
16.86%chance
13931
OptionVotes
1182
959
What lasting peace deal will come first? Russia's or Iran's?
Aug 29, 8:29 AMDec 30, 11:59 PM
29.6%chance
8679
OptionVotes
994
100
OptionProbability
98
40
24
3
0
Will Andy Burnham lead Labour to the next general election?
Jun 19, 8:41 PMAug 15, 11:59 PM
74.47%chance
8575
OptionVotes
1341
854
Will the next British Genaral election take place before the regular deadline in 2029?
Mar 1, 8:58 PMAug 15, 10:00 PM
96.19%chance
8475
OptionVotes
503
20
OptionVotes
480
92
OptionProbability
90
83
60
10
Brazil 2026 Election: US congratulates Brazil’s 2026 election winner within 24 hours?
Jan 29, 3:47 PMOct 27, 11:59 PM
26.21%chance
10152
OptionVotes
168
60
How many monuments will Pogačar and Van der Poel win between the two of them in 2027?
Sep 13, 8:45 AMNov 10, 11:59 PM
4140
OptionProbability
28
25
21
16
6
5
Will Zuid-Limburg have a Demi Vollering Allee before EOY 2026?
Aug 13, 4:27 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
25.63%chance
5101
OptionVotes
170
59
OptionProbability
16
16
7
7
7
7
7
7
7
7
7
7
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