Vie News

Stray Kids’ ‘KARMA’ Sells 2 Million, ‘CEREMONY’ MV Featuring Faker Tops Charts; Doja Cat’s ‘Jealous Type’ Debuts with 3.17M Spotify Streams

10 months ago

Doja Cat’s "Jealous Type" Debuts No. 14 Global Spotify With 3.17M Streams, No. 8 US Spotify, Top 5 iTunes, 1.7M YouTube Views

10 months ago

Who is behind Twitter user @qorrenqial1215?

Feb 4, 3:21 AMJan 1, 1:06 AM

3538466

OptionProbability

Other

Celene (@toasterlighting)

Alice (@psyclyx)

Aria (@ariaurellium)

Olivia (@4confusedemoji)

Autumn (@adrusi)

mercury (@rodentiation)

Melody (@dawnlightmelody)

Zane (@JDVance)

Celeste (@parafactual)

@torrential12015

April (@apriisr)

Skye (@SkyeSharkie)

Annie (@annieposting)

Sercy (@dogmadeath)

Eliezer Yudkowsky (@ESYudkowsky)

Michael Vassar (@HiFromMichaelV)

Emma (@revoccue)

William Francis Mallett the Fourth

Roofon (@RoofOnTheHouse)

Vie McCoy (@viemccoy)

Moshe Yudkowsky (@mosheyudkowsky)

@Heronofmawi

@AIHegemonyMemes

Raven (@schellingwitch)

Alea (@noncanonicaleae)

light architect (@iceberm)

Octavia (@slimepriestess)

@tapolara

Liz Lovelace (@liz_love_lace)

Hephaistos Fnord (@HephaistosF)

Tetra (@tetraspacewest)

Jessica (@jessi_cata)

Emmett Shear (@eshear)

Caleb Ditchfield

Thiago Coelho (@thiagovscoelho)

Nicholas Decker (@captgouda24)

Pope Leo XIV (@pontifex)

Will Ice Cream turn out to actually be "healthy" based on consensus view at EOY 2026?

Nov 11, 7:11 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

6.5%chance

2010838

OptionVotes

YES

15423

3517

Will an AI generated YouTube video reach 1B views before 2027?

Jan 5, 12:58 AMJan 6, 10:59 PM

50%chance

416362

OptionVotes

YES

1050

932

If Rational Animations invites viewers to read LessWrong in a video, how many new users will join LessWrong as a result?

May 4, 10:10 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

55.18%chance

955673

OptionProbability

YES

1920

1549

Will Vietnam execute someone for fraud?

Jun 15, 1:01 PMJan 1, 4:59 PM

14.86%chance

123118

OptionVotes

YES

3582

645

Will the first Manifold market to reach 1 million views have 10,000 or more traders before it reaches 1 million views?

Feb 17, 5:23 AMJan 2, 5:59 AM

44%chance

162098

OptionVotes

YES

1153

856

In 2028, Will a >5 min video completely generated by an AI have more than 1 billion views on Youtube?

Sep 26, 1:10 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

43.42%chance

441839

OptionVotes

YES

1169

687

EU or UK citizen granted US asylum for anti-immigration views by end of 2028?

Oct 16, 4:09 PMJan 1, 4:58 PM

38.26%chance

71542

OptionVotes

YES

1270

787

Will same-sex marriage become legal in Vietnam before 2030?

Mar 14, 1:11 PMDec 31, 5:59 AM

74.04%chance

17409

OptionVotes

YES

1008

987

Best Album at 2027 Grammy Award ceremony?

Apr 13, 12:29 PMFeb 1, 11:59 PM

11337

OptionProbability

Other

Goose, Big Modern!

Hayley Kiyoko, Girls like Girls

Evanescence, Sanctuary

Afroman, Freedom of Speech

M.I.A., M.I.7.

Harry Styles, Kiss All the Time. Disco, Occasionally

Ella Langley, Dandelion

Rosalia, Lux

Olivia Dean, The Art of Loving

Drake, Iceman

Flea, Honora

Phoebe Bridgers [tbc]

Ariana Grande, Petal

Olivia Rodrigo, You Seem Pretty Sad for a Girl So in Love

21 Savage, What Happened to the Streets?

Snow tha Product, Before I Crash Out

NOFX, A to H

Alter Bridge, Alter Bridge

ASAP Rocky, Don't Be Dumb

Nick Jonas, Sunday Best

Charli XCX, Wuthering Heights

Mumford & Sons, Prizefighter

Gorillaz, The Mountain

Hillary Duff, Luck. . . Or Something

Yungblud, Idols II

BLACKPINK, DEADLINE

BTS, Arirang

Nine Inch Nails, Nine Inch Noize

Demi Lovato, It's Not That Deep

Foo Fighters, Your Favorite Toy

Jason Aldean, Songs About Us

Gracie Abrams, Daughter from Hell

Brandi Carlisle, Returning To Myself

Noah Kahan, The Great Divide

Bruno Mars, The Romantic

Taylor Swift, The Life of a Showgirl

Justin Bieber, Swag II

Rob Thomas, All Night Days

Cardi B, Am I the Drama?

Doja Cat, Vie

Tame Impala, Deadbeat

Will Tom Scott's "This Video Has [] Views" title stop being updated before 2030?

Jul 13, 5:31 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

35.5%chance

12260

OptionVotes

YES

1019

945

Will a YouTube video of/about a Gen-AI film awards ceremony reach 1 million+ views within a year of release by 2030?"

Oct 3, 6:16 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

52.44%chance

150

OptionVotes

YES

1050

952

Latest stories

Aug 23, 2025
Aug 23, 2025
Music
Culture
Doja Cat’s "Jealous Type" Debuts No. 14 Global Spotify With 3.17M Streams, No. 8 US Spotify, Top 5 iTunes, 1.7M YouTube Views
Authors
5
10 months ago
Aug 23, 2025
Aug 23, 2025
Korea
Music
Culture
Stray Kids’ ‘KARMA’ Sells 2 Million, ‘CEREMONY’ MV Featuring Faker Tops Charts; Doja Cat’s ‘Jealous Type’ Debuts with 3.17M Spotify Streams
Authors
7
10 months ago

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Who is behind Twitter user @qorrenqial1215?

Will Ice Cream turn out to actually be "healthy" based on consensus view at EOY 2026?

Will an AI generated YouTube video reach 1B views before 2027?

If Rational Animations invites viewers to read LessWrong in a video, how many new users will join LessWrong as a result?

Will Vietnam execute someone for fraud?

Will the first Manifold market to reach 1 million views have 10,000 or more traders before it reaches 1 million views?

In 2028, Will a >5 min video completely generated by an AI have more than 1 billion views on Youtube?

EU or UK citizen granted US asylum for anti-immigration views by end of 2028?

Will same-sex marriage become legal in Vietnam before 2030?

Best Album at 2027 Grammy Award ceremony?

Will Tom Scott's "This Video Has [] Views" title stop being updated before 2030?

Will a YouTube video of/about a Gen-AI film awards ceremony reach 1 million+ views within a year of release by 2030?"

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