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Top stories

Bithell Games Lays Off Most Staff After Funding for New Project Falls Through

Bithell Games Lays Off Most Staff After Funding for New Project Falls Through

Authors

5

5 days ago

Prediction markets for Volume

Highest volume prediction market for 2028 US prez election?

Feb 20, 12:06 AMNov 11, 7:59 AM

4643652

OptionProbability

Polymarket

Kalshi

IB / ForecastEx

Other

DraftKings or FanDuel

Betfair

Manifold

PredictIt

52

27

10

7

2

1

1

1

Will the "Did COVID-19 come from a laboratory?" market trading volume exceed M$10 million before Q4, 2025?

Jan 11, 11:09 AMOct 1, 10:59 PM

37.52%chance

61410

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1290

775

Percent limit offer volume / limit order volume if we implement limit offers?

May 1, 11:21 PMJan 1, 12:19 AM

111191

When will the second volume of "Fire & Blood" by George R. R. Martin be released?

Sep 15, 7:05 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

8814

OptionProbability

Before 2040

Before 2029

Before 2035

Before 2030

Before 2028

Before 2027

Before 2026

74

67

58

52

50

43

27

Will annual secondary PE transaction volume surpass $1 Trillion by 2030

Oct 6, 3:05 AMApr 29, 6:59 AM

4.74%chance

7677

OptionVotes

YES

NO

818

99

Which PE secondaries intermediary will place #1 on the Secondaries Investor annual volume survey in 2027?

Oct 6, 3:59 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

4410

OptionProbability

Evercore

Jefferies

Other

Campbell Lutyens

William Blair

Park Hill

63

19

10

3

3

2

Will Polymarket's daily trading volume reach or exceed $200 million at any point during the calendar year 2025?

Oct 19, 1:57 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

9.22%chance

7384

OptionVotes

YES

NO

314

32

How many pages will the fifth volume of Robert Caro's "The Years of Lyndon Johnson" have?

Feb 27, 2:56 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

5305

Will there be off-Earth habitable volume totalling one cubic kilometre by 2050?

Jan 31, 3:45 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

41.73%chance

4259

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1182

846

Will annual transaction volume in GP-led PE secondaries be greater than LP-led in FY 2025?

Oct 5, 5:18 PMMay 1, 6:59 AM

65%chance

5125

OptionVotes

NO

YES

168

144

Will Lada Nuzhna have a higher google search volume than Laura Deming by 2030?

Apr 18, 10:35 PMSep 1, 8:01 AM

28.26%chance

6108

OptionVotes

YES

NO

146

140

Will a new SEC / IRS rule cause CF secondary volume to decrease by ~50% by 2030?

Nov 2, 6:53 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

35.26%chance

438

OptionVotes

YES

NO

196

134

Latest stories

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Aug 8, 2025
Aug 8, 2025
Video Games
Business
Culture
Bithell Games Lays Off Most Staff After Funding for New Project Falls Through
Authors
5
5 days ago

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