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Prediction markets for White
Will Eliezer Yudkowsky be mentioned or quoted in the White House briefing room within 5 years?
May 23, 1:11 PMJun 1, 3:59 AM
48.77%chance
229116219
OptionVotes
1025
976
Will Vivek Ramaswamy Hold an Official Position in Trump’s White House?
Dec 27, 8:23 AMJan 21, 7:59 AM
9.46%chance
18242842
OptionVotes
7423
1007
OptionVotes
21317
93
Will the next White House Press Secretary after Katie Zachariah be a blonde woman?
Oct 16, 7:51 PMNov 14, 11:00 PM
44.91%chance
20220848
OptionVotes
1313
615
Will AI existential risk be mentioned in the white house briefing room again by May 2029?
May 23, 1:08 PMMay 31, 3:59 AM
88.26%chance
397502
OptionVotes
2743
365
OptionProbability
58
42
Regardless of elections, will actual control of the White House switch parties in January 2029?
Jul 20, 8:28 PMFeb 2, 5:59 AM
61.66%chance
183552
OptionVotes
11364
9035
Will Marius Binner Win the ARC White-Box Estimation Challenge 2026
Oct 1, 10:45 AMNov 15, 12:59 AM
49.95%chance
83312
OptionVotes
1001
999
Will the 2028 Democratic nominee be a straight white male?
Mar 19, 12:28 AMJun 26, 6:59 AM
62.29%chance
221560
OptionVotes
1285
778
Will the U.S. Supreme Court grant certiorari to hear the White House Ballroom case by the end of their 2026-2027 term?
Mar 31, 9:12 PMJun 30, 11:59 PM
44.18%chance
141005
OptionVotes
1124
890
Will a character from a previous season die in Season 4 of The White Lotus?
Apr 7, 3:29 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
37.25%chance
3405
OptionVotes
1298
770
Will there be a non-white Republican Nominee before the end of 2032?
Feb 24, 5:58 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
27.54%chance
14207
OptionVotes
1061
965
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