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Prediction markets for Windows 10
Is the "Promethean virus" in Large Language Models real?
Jun 7, 10:50 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
10.55%chance
8250361
OptionVotes
28550
2982
Will the leaked OpenAI "GPT 5.6 Sol" proof that nonsofic groups exist be verified as correct?
Aug 1, 6:35 AMAug 1, 6:31 AM
97.6%chance
1014031
OptionVotes
6376
157
Will large amounts of GTA VI-related time-off requests be reported within two weeks of release?
May 27, 2:12 PMNov 20, 7:59 AM
31.11%chance
101159
OptionVotes
1488
672
Will Windows's desktop market share in 2026 be at least 5% lower than in 2024?
Mar 18, 5:40 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
80.48%chance
21940
OptionVotes
526
78
What lasting peace deal will come first? Russia's or Iran's?
Aug 29, 8:29 AMDec 30, 11:59 PM
30%chance
8681
OptionVotes
990
102
Will Energy Fuels White Mesa Eu2O3 output exceed 12000 kg in 6 months ending September 2026?
Mar 30, 8:39 PMDec 31, 5:00 AM
23.93%chance
4226
OptionVotes
178
56
Will Energy Fuels White Mesa Eu2O3 output exceed 5000 kg in 6 months ending March 2027?
Mar 30, 8:41 PMJun 30, 4:00 AM
37.26%chance
5197
OptionVotes
130
77
Will Energy Fuels White Mesa Eu2O3 output exceed 1500 kg in 6 months ending March 2027?
Mar 30, 8:40 PMJun 30, 4:00 AM
36.4%chance
6177
OptionVotes
132
76
Will Energy Fuels White Mesa Eu2O3 output exceed 12000 kg in 6 months ending March 2027?
Mar 30, 8:40 PMJun 30, 4:00 AM
31.05%chance
4175
OptionVotes
149
67
Will Energy Fuels White Mesa Eu2O3 output exceed 500 kg in 6 months ending March 2027?
Mar 30, 8:40 PMJun 30, 4:00 AM
36.17%chance
3171
OptionVotes
133
75
Will Energy Fuels White Mesa Eu2O3 output exceed 1500 kg in 6 months ending September 2026?
Mar 30, 8:39 PMDec 31, 5:00 AM
35.52%chance
4168
OptionVotes
135
74
Will any frontier model support a 10M+ token context window before 2028?
May 25, 5:03 PMJan 1, 2:59 AM
39.13%chance
784
OptionVotes
125
80
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