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Top stories

Return to Silent Hill Movie Adaptation of Silent Hill 2 Featuring Pyramid Head Teaser Set for January 23, 2026 Release

Return to Silent Hill Movie Adaptation of Silent Hill 2 Featuring Pyramid Head Teaser Set for January 23, 2026 Release

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Parallels Desktop 26 Launches With macOS Tahoe, Windows 11 25H2 Support

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Prediction markets for Windows

Will at least one Starship leave Earth heading for Mars in the 2026 launch window?

Sep 8, 12:28 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

1%chance

6318135

OptionVotes

YES

NO

9941

101

Will a non-Windows, non-Unix-like operating system capture greater than 3% market share by 2033?

Sep 1, 6:40 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

30.73%chance

764207

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1281

1116

Will at least one crewed Starship leave Earth heading for Mars in the 2028/2029 launch window?

Sep 8, 12:29 AMMar 31, 3:59 PM

5.03%chance

84005

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4345

230

Will the next version of Microsoft Windows operating system (Windows 12) be released before Grand Theft Auto 6?

Dec 29, 4:22 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

23.52%chance

503260

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1858

297

The context windows of frontier models will stay around one million tokens in 2026

Jan 2, 7:37 AMJan 4, 7:59 AM

81.04%chance

51125

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2067

484

Will there be another perfect game pitched in the MLB before Windows 12 releases?

Dec 29, 4:42 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

37.77%chance

18708

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1364

673

Will there exist a competent window manager on MacOS before 2028?

Nov 27, 10:05 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

35.21%chance

6480

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1356

737

Will Microsoft discontinue Windows in favor of a Windows themed Linux distribution before 2041?

Jan 19, 1:26 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

16.13%chance

6395

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1234

949

Largest context window for an LLM from a top three AI lab in 2026?

Mar 9, 7:41 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

6204

OptionProbability

At least 1.1 Million

At least 2 million

At least 4 million

At least 10 million

At least 20 million

70

51

30

24

22

Will there be a resurgence in the popularity of transom windows by the end of this decade (2020s)?

Jan 15, 7:25 AMJan 2, 6:59 AM

47.67%chance

2152

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1048

954

Will a non-Windows, non-Unix-like operating system capture greater than 3% market share by 2043?

Sep 1, 6:54 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

50%chance

5148

OptionVotes

NO

YES

147

104

Will the US mandate all new car windows block UV-A by 2030?

Jul 14, 8:06 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

45.39%chance

2100

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1097

912

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