WSJ News

Grok AI App Surpasses Google, Ranks 5th Overall and 2nd in Productivity Globally with 1.25M Ratings

1 year ago

Will Anthropic become profitable this year?

May 6, 7:39 AMJan 30, 11:59 PM

89.53%chance

15158129

OptionVotes

YES

5734

555

Will Ice Cream turn out to actually be "healthy" based on consensus view at EOY 2026?

Nov 11, 7:11 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

7.26%chance

2112589

OptionVotes

YES

14072

3617

Who is Satoshi Nakamoto? (resolves at 90% confidence)

Apr 9, 8:18 PMDec 31, 9:24 PM

255760

OptionProbability

Other

Adam Back

Hal Finney

Len Sassaman

Nick Szabo

Peter Todd

Dorian Nakamoto

Craig Wright

Will the WSJ, NYT, FT, or Economist create a market on Manifold by 2030?

Oct 29, 5:04 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

20.62%chance

292141

OptionVotes

YES

1762

673

US provides military aid to Russia before January 20, 2029

Mar 11, 3:37 PMJan 20, 12:00 AM

20.56%chance

241938

OptionVotes

YES

1966

509

Will the Bilt Mastercard Remain Stable Through 2030?

Jun 18, 4:09 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

20.73%chance

101260

OptionVotes

YES

2046

535

If Trump wins, will active-duty military be used to control protests/riots in DC?

Mar 11, 3:38 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

38.29%chance

231058

OptionVotes

YES

1185

864

Will the first WSJ article about Manifold mention assassination markets?

Apr 3, 4:53 AMFeb 3, 12:59 AM

45%chance

17997

OptionVotes

YES

1034

942

Will a international AI watchdog body enter into force by May 30, 2027?

Jun 15, 1:27 PMMay 31, 4:00 AM

64.02%chance

20691

OptionVotes

YES

1093

775

Will A New Accusation of Sexual Impropriety Be Made Against Gavin Newsom by the MSM before Nov 8 2028?

Dec 5, 3:27 PMNov 9, 6:59 AM

56.45%chance

7225

OptionVotes

YES

1139

878

Will the WSJ do an expose-style piece on Bryan Johnson before 2027?

Feb 11, 10:28 PMJan 1, 8:59 PM

60.87%chance

6124

OptionVotes

YES

301

296

Will Hunter x Hunter get a new anime adaptation before the end of 2030?

Dec 21, 5:45 PMDec 31, 12:00 AM

54.75%chance

1100

OptionVotes

YES

1100

909

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Aug 14, 2025
Aug 14, 2025
Software
AI Products
Tech
Grok AI App Surpasses Google, Ranks 5th Overall and 2nd in Productivity Globally with 1.25M Ratings
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1 year ago

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Will Anthropic become profitable this year?

Will Ice Cream turn out to actually be "healthy" based on consensus view at EOY 2026?

Who is Satoshi Nakamoto? (resolves at 90% confidence)

Will the WSJ, NYT, FT, or Economist create a market on Manifold by 2030?

US provides military aid to Russia before January 20, 2029

Will the Bilt Mastercard Remain Stable Through 2030?

If Trump wins, will active-duty military be used to control protests/riots in DC?

Will the first WSJ article about Manifold mention assassination markets?

Will a international AI watchdog body enter into force by May 30, 2027?

Will A New Accusation of Sexual Impropriety Be Made Against Gavin Newsom by the MSM before Nov 8 2028?

Will the WSJ do an expose-style piece on Bryan Johnson before 2027?

Will Hunter x Hunter get a new anime adaptation before the end of 2030?

Latest stories

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