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Prediction markets for WSJ
OptionVotes
51662
5888
Will Taiwan de facto be controlled by China before 2026 according to Western media?
Jan 28, 6:39 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
2.39%chance
3376158
OptionVotes
54440
6835
Will audio recordings of FDIC malfeasance vis crypto be confirmed?
Jan 12, 9:50 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM
8.4%chance
5837870
OptionVotes
32549
4033
What will be the outcome of Trump's lawsuit against the Wall Street Journal?
Jul 19, 7:42 AMDec 31, 8:41 AM
434572
OptionProbability
72
26
2
Will the WSJ, NYT, FT, or Economist create a market on Manifold by 2030?
Oct 29, 5:04 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
19.52%chance
292067
OptionVotes
1836
655
OptionVotes
2061
485
Will Ice Cream turn out to actually be "healthy" based on consensus view at EOY 2026?
Nov 11, 7:11 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
18.66%chance
191588
OptionVotes
6173
4649
Will the first WSJ article about Manifold mention assassination markets?
Apr 3, 4:53 AMJan 2, 12:59 AM
42.45%chance
16867
OptionVotes
1000
989
Will a international AI watchdog body enter into force by May 30, 2027?
Jun 15, 1:27 PMMay 31, 4:00 AM
64.02%chance
20691
OptionVotes
1093
775
Will the WSJ do an expose-style piece on Bryan Johnson before 2027?
Feb 11, 10:28 PMJan 1, 8:59 PM
60.75%chance
5103
OptionVotes
300
297
Will Hunter x Hunter get a new anime adaptation before the end of 2030?
Dec 21, 5:45 PMDec 31, 12:00 AM
54.75%chance
1100
OptionVotes
1100
909
Will A New Accusation of Sexual Impropriety Be Made Against Gavin Newsom by the MSM before Nov 8 2028?
Dec 5, 3:27 PMNov 9, 6:59 AM
49.89%chance
352
OptionVotes
1002
998
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