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North Yorkshire Moor Wildfire Triggers 18 Explosions of WWII Bombs on Former 1940s Tank Training Ground

11 months ago

Will prominent rationalists judge that Trump's second term was the most positively impactful term in the last 68 years?

Nov 9, 7:16 PMNov 2, 6:59 AM

4.03%chance

130483919

OptionVotes

YES

4880

205

Will Wikipedia on or before January 1st 2030 list WWIII as having started already on April 1, 2026

Mar 14, 4:39 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

9.72%chance

368759

OptionVotes

YES

3047

328

Will prominent rationalists judge that Trump's second term was the most damaging term in the last 68 years?

Jan 8, 4:43 PMFeb 1, 4:59 AM

72.8%chance

387293

OptionVotes

YES

1636

611

Will the events leading to WWIII be directly caused by the assassination of Franz Ferdinand (the band)?

Aug 15, 11:08 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

2.47%chance

211811

OptionVotes

YES

2736

884

Will relations between Ukraine and Russia normalize by 2030?

Feb 8, 8:20 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

9%chance

191517

OptionVotes

YES

2254

756

By the end of 2027: Germany will be actively engaged in war or there will be acts of war on German Territory.

Apr 4, 9:36 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

8%chance

13832

OptionVotes

YES

385

175

WWIII stock

Apr 9, 8:33 AMApr 10, 3:59 AM

16347

OptionProbability

YES

309

254

Will the World Tension Index get above 100 in 2026?

Dec 31, 6:41 AMJan 2, 11:59 PM

47%chance

8230

OptionVotes

YES

106

Will relations between Ukraine and Russia normalize by 2050?

Feb 8, 8:18 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

27%chance

8228

OptionVotes

YES

225

Will relations between Ukraine and Russia normalize by 2040?

Feb 8, 8:19 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

27.37%chance

11206

OptionVotes

YES

254

123

Will Spain switch to GMT/Western Europe Time by 2030?

Apr 5, 7:16 AMJan 8, 7:59 AM

28.98%chance

6199

OptionVotes

YES

240

111

Will someone famous thought to have died be revealed to have not actually died (before August 2027)?

Nov 16, 8:39 AMAug 2, 6:59 AM

52.07%chance

8143

OptionVotes

YES

158

138

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Aug 28, 2025
Aug 28, 2025
Britain
Natural Disasters
Environment
North Yorkshire Moor Wildfire Triggers 18 Explosions of WWII Bombs on Former 1940s Tank Training Ground
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11 months ago

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Will prominent rationalists judge that Trump's second term was the most positively impactful term in the last 68 years?

Will Wikipedia on or before January 1st 2030 list WWIII as having started already on April 1, 2026

Will prominent rationalists judge that Trump's second term was the most damaging term in the last 68 years?

Will the events leading to WWIII be directly caused by the assassination of Franz Ferdinand (the band)?

Will relations between Ukraine and Russia normalize by 2030?

By the end of 2027: Germany will be actively engaged in war or there will be acts of war on German Territory.

WWIII stock

Will the World Tension Index get above 100 in 2026?

Will relations between Ukraine and Russia normalize by 2050?

Will relations between Ukraine and Russia normalize by 2040?

Will Spain switch to GMT/Western Europe Time by 2030?

Will someone famous thought to have died be revealed to have not actually died (before August 2027)?

Latest stories

Join our channels

WhatsApp

Telegram