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North Yorkshire Moor Wildfire Triggers 18 Explosions of WWII Bombs on Former 1940s Tank Training Ground

1 year ago

Will prominent rationalists judge that Trump's second term was the most positively impactful term in the last 68 years?

Nov 9, 7:16 PMNov 2, 6:59 AM

10%chance

130486806

OptionVotes

YES

3000

333

Will Wikipedia on or before January 1st 2030 list WWIII as having started already on April 1, 2026

Mar 14, 4:39 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

9.72%chance

368759

OptionVotes

YES

3047

328

Will prominent rationalists judge that Trump's second term was the most damaging term in the last 68 years?

Jan 8, 4:43 PMFeb 1, 4:59 AM

78.06%chance

397543

OptionVotes

YES

1886

530

Will the events leading to WWIII be directly caused by the assassination of Franz Ferdinand (the band)?

Aug 15, 11:08 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

2.37%chance

222709

OptionVotes

YES

2838

881

Will relations between Ukraine and Russia normalize by 2030?

Feb 8, 8:20 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

9%chance

191517

OptionVotes

YES

2254

756

By the end of 2027: Germany will be actively engaged in war or there will be acts of war on German Territory.

Apr 4, 9:36 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

8%chance

13832

OptionVotes

YES

385

175

Will the World Tension Index get above 100 in 2026?

Dec 31, 6:41 AMJan 2, 11:59 PM

94%chance

9532

OptionVotes

YES

396

WWIII stock

Apr 9, 8:33 AMApr 10, 3:59 AM

16347

OptionProbability

YES

309

254

Will relations between Ukraine and Russia normalize by 2050?

Feb 8, 8:18 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

34.42%chance

8243

OptionVotes

YES

196

Will post-WWII international orders die before 2030?

Oct 16, 9:33 PMDec 31, 11:00 AM

31.88%chance

216

OptionVotes

YES

116

Will post-WWII international orders die before 2050?

Sep 27, 9:58 AMDec 31, 11:00 AM

29.64%chance

311

OptionVotes

YES

111

Will Nuremberg 2.0 over pandemics become a reality before 2100?

Sep 9, 12:57 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

6%chance

OptionVotes

YES

100

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Aug 28, 2025
Aug 28, 2025
Britain
Natural Disasters
Environment
North Yorkshire Moor Wildfire Triggers 18 Explosions of WWII Bombs on Former 1940s Tank Training Ground
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1 year ago

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Will prominent rationalists judge that Trump's second term was the most positively impactful term in the last 68 years?

Will Wikipedia on or before January 1st 2030 list WWIII as having started already on April 1, 2026

Will prominent rationalists judge that Trump's second term was the most damaging term in the last 68 years?

Will the events leading to WWIII be directly caused by the assassination of Franz Ferdinand (the band)?

Will relations between Ukraine and Russia normalize by 2030?

By the end of 2027: Germany will be actively engaged in war or there will be acts of war on German Territory.

Will the World Tension Index get above 100 in 2026?

WWIII stock

Will relations between Ukraine and Russia normalize by 2050?

Will post-WWII international orders die before 2030?

Will post-WWII international orders die before 2050?

Will Nuremberg 2.0 over pandemics become a reality before 2100?

Latest stories

Join our channels

WhatsApp

Telegram